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FFUT:NASDAQFidelity Managed Futures ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time

$57.93

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Fidelity Managed Futures ETF (FFUT) is trading at $57.93, comfortably above its 20‑day ($56.84), 50‑day ($56.01) and 200‑day ($53.26) simple moving averages, underscoring a strong bullish momentum. Technical indicators reinforce this view: the RSI sits at 60.7, the MACD line (0.50) sits above its signal (0.46) and the histogram remains positive, while price respects a support zone near $55.05 and faces resistance around $58.47. Volume is on an upward trend, suggesting growing investor interest, and the fund’s beta of 0.18 signals very low market‑related volatility, which is further reflected by a modest 30‑day volatility of 16.9% and a max drawdown of only –3.53%. Fund fundamentals are also appealing: a modest expense ratio of 0.8%, zero tracking error, and a YTD return of 5.37% in a market environment characterized by an "Extreme Greed" sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 78.8).
Despite its recent inception (June 2025) and limited historical performance data, the ETF’s systematic trend strategy provides diversification away from equity beta, and the low liquidity risk—evidenced by a rising average daily volume—supports short‑term trading confidence. Investors should view FFUT as a low‑beta, low‑drawdown vehicle that can complement risk‑adjusted portfolios, while remaining mindful of its relatively modest trading volume and nascent track record.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • Increasing volume supporting momentum
  • Proximity to resistance suggesting limited upside in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish technical setup with strong support
  • Low beta and low historical drawdown enhancing risk‑adjusted return
  • Favorable YTD performance amid high market optimism

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Systematic trend strategy offers diversification from equity markets
  • Consistently low tracking error and expense ratio
  • Long‑term low volatility and minimal correlation with broader market movements

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$240.0M
Inception Date2025-06-03
Avg Daily Volume10,500
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.7
Support$55.05
Resistance$58.47
MA 20$56.84
MA 50$56.01
MA 200$53.26
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility16.93%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.