FEP:NASDAQFirst Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-02 - not real-time
$55.20
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FEP is trading at $55.20, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $54.05 but still below the 50‑day SMA of $56.30, indicating a modest upward bias that is not yet strong enough to break the near‑term resistance at $56.14. The RSI sits at 52.4, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive (0.276) with a bullish signal line crossover, offering a subtle technical upside. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility remains elevated at roughly 28%, which tempers the bullish technical signals. Support at $49.93 provides a solid floor, and the fund’s low beta of 0.76 points to reduced market‑wide sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers a healthy dividend yield of 3.03% and a modest expense ratio of 0.80%, enhancing its income appeal. A YTD return of 9.86% aligns with the “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (78.8), reflecting strong investor appetite. With zero tracking error and no premium/discount drift, the fund tracks its European equity benchmark closely, though its decreasing liquidity (average volume ~45k vs today’s ~28k) and medium sector concentration add modest risk considerations.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers a healthy dividend yield of 3.03% and a modest expense ratio of 0.80%, enhancing its income appeal. A YTD return of 9.86% aligns with the “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (78.8), reflecting strong investor appetite. With zero tracking error and no premium/discount drift, the fund tracks its European equity benchmark closely, though its decreasing liquidity (average volume ~45k vs today’s ~28k) and medium sector concentration add modest risk considerations.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $56.14
- Bullish MACD crossover with neutral RSI
- Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong dividend yield of 3.03% and low expense ratio
- Positive YTD performance and low beta
- Technical support at $49.93 and bullish MACD signal
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent multi‑year returns (~10‑20% annualized)
- Zero tracking error and stable fund structure
- Diversified European exposure with modest currency risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$510.7M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume28,140
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.03%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.4
Support$49.93
Resistance$56.14
MA 20$54.05
MA 50$56.30
MA 200$52.11
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.76
Volatility27.79%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.