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IUS:NASDAQInvesco RAFI Strategic US ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

$64.59

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The IUS ETF is trading at $64.59, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 65.07 and the 50‑day SMA of 63.02, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. Volume is increasing and the broader trend is classified as bullish, while the RSI sits near the midpoint at 51, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. However, the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at a potential near‑term pullback despite the overall uptrend. The fund’s YTD return of 15.43% and 3‑year return of roughly 19.7% demonstrate strong performance, reinforced by a low expense ratio of 0.19% and a modest beta of 0.77, which points to lower volatility than the market. The Fear & Greed Index is at an “Extreme Greed” level of 82.46, signaling heightened market optimism that could precede a correction.
On the risk side, the ETF shows a max drawdown of just 6.5%, a zero tracking error, and no premium/discount, indicating tight index tracking and efficient pricing. Liquidity appears moderate; while the 10‑day average volume is about 78,000 shares, today’s volume is only 5,500, suggesting that large trades could impact price. Overall, IUS combines solid value exposure, attractive dividend yield (~1.3%), and low cost, making it a compelling addition for investors seeking diversified large‑cap value with controlled risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above short‑term SMAs but MACD turning bearish
  • Increasing volume supporting current trend
  • Extreme Greed index indicating potential short‑term correction

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD and multi‑year returns
  • Low expense ratio and low tracking error
  • Modest beta providing downside protection

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified large‑cap value exposure
  • Consistent dividend yield and low volatility
  • Sustainable cost structure and tight index tracking

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.19%
AUM$856.8M
Inception Date2018-09-12
Avg Daily Volume78,780
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.29%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.3
Support$63.79
Resistance$66.28
MA 20$65.07
MA 50$63.02
MA 200$58.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index82.46

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility11.58%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.