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ISUL:NASDAQGraniteShares 2x Long ISRG Daily ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$21.37

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ISUL is entrenched in a pronounced bearish environment. The ETF trades at $21.37, well below its 20‑day ($22.61), 50‑day ($23.87) and 200‑day ($30.22) simple moving averages, while the MACD line sits beneath its signal (-1.09 vs -1.00) and the 14‑day RSI hovers around 44, indicating limited upside momentum. Volatility is extreme at 78% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.0, amplifying price swings. The fund has suffered a steep YTD decline of 38% and a historic max drawdown of over 52%, reflecting the risk inherent in its 2x leveraged daily structure.
Liquidity is waning, with today’s volume (~24k) far below the 10‑day average (~57k) and a modest asset base of roughly $5 M, flagging a high liquidity risk. No material news specifically impacts ISUL, leaving the quantitative signals as the primary drivers of outlook. Investors should treat this single‑stock, leveraged product as a high‑risk instrument best avoided unless a short‑term tactical play is explicitly intended.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major SMAs
  • bearish MACD and sub‑50 RSI
  • extreme short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • persistent bearish trend and negative YTD return
  • high beta and leveraged decay risk
  • deteriorating volume and liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • leveraged daily ETFs are unsuitable for long‑hold periods
  • single‑stock exposure to ISRG amplifies sector risk
  • historical max drawdown exceeding 50%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.50%
AUM$5.1M
Inception Date2025-10-06
Avg Daily Volume56,840
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.8
Support$19.25
Resistance$26.81
MA 20$22.61
MA 50$23.87
MA 200$30.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Risk Assessment

Beta2.03
Volatility78.36%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.