ISUL:NASDAQGraniteShares 2x Long ISRG Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$17.64
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
ISUL is a newly launched (Oct 2025) 2×‑leveraged daily ETF on Intuitive Surgical that has already suffered a steep decline, with a YTD return of –47.77% and a current price of $17.64 sitting well below its 20‑day SMA (19.28), 50‑day SMA (21.53) and 200‑day SMA (28.97). The RSI of 36.9 hints at mild oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a tiny bullish histogram (+0.053) but both the line (‑0.931) and signal (‑0.984) remain negative, underscoring a still‑bearish momentum.
The fund’s risk profile is amplified by a 30‑day volatility of 72.7%, a beta of 1.84, a max drawdown of –57.2%, and a decreasing volume trend, all compounded by a high expense ratio (1.5%) and a very small asset base (~$5.9 M). These metrics signal that the ETF is vulnerable to rapid price swings, leveraged decay, and liquidity strain, making it unsuitable for most investors beyond very short‑term tactical plays.
The fund’s risk profile is amplified by a 30‑day volatility of 72.7%, a beta of 1.84, a max drawdown of –57.2%, and a decreasing volume trend, all compounded by a high expense ratio (1.5%) and a very small asset base (~$5.9 M). These metrics signal that the ETF is vulnerable to rapid price swings, leveraged decay, and liquidity strain, making it unsuitable for most investors beyond very short‑term tactical plays.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price trading well below all major moving averages
- Bearish trend despite a marginal MACD histogram boost
- Elevated volatility and high beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged daily reset leading to decay over multiple days
- Concentration in a single stock amplifies downside risk
- Liquidity constraints evidenced by decreasing volume
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Inherent unsuitability of leveraged ETFs for long‑term holding
- Historical max drawdown of over 57% in less than a year
- High expense ratio eroding returns over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.50%
AUM$5.9M
Inception Date2025-10-06
Avg Daily Volume51,830
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.9
Support$17.20
Resistance$22.16
MA 20$19.28
MA 50$21.53
MA 200$28.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.77
Risk Assessment
Beta1.84
Volatility72.74%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.