ISUL:NASDAQGraniteShares 2x Long ISRG Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$21.37
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
ISUL is entrenched in a pronounced bearish environment. The ETF trades at $21.37, well below its 20‑day ($22.61), 50‑day ($23.87) and 200‑day ($30.22) simple moving averages, while the MACD line sits beneath its signal (-1.09 vs -1.00) and the 14‑day RSI hovers around 44, indicating limited upside momentum. Volatility is extreme at 78% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.0, amplifying price swings. The fund has suffered a steep YTD decline of 38% and a historic max drawdown of over 52%, reflecting the risk inherent in its 2x leveraged daily structure.
Liquidity is waning, with today’s volume (~24k) far below the 10‑day average (~57k) and a modest asset base of roughly $5 M, flagging a high liquidity risk. No material news specifically impacts ISUL, leaving the quantitative signals as the primary drivers of outlook. Investors should treat this single‑stock, leveraged product as a high‑risk instrument best avoided unless a short‑term tactical play is explicitly intended.
Liquidity is waning, with today’s volume (~24k) far below the 10‑day average (~57k) and a modest asset base of roughly $5 M, flagging a high liquidity risk. No material news specifically impacts ISUL, leaving the quantitative signals as the primary drivers of outlook. Investors should treat this single‑stock, leveraged product as a high‑risk instrument best avoided unless a short‑term tactical play is explicitly intended.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price below all major SMAs
- bearish MACD and sub‑50 RSI
- extreme short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- persistent bearish trend and negative YTD return
- high beta and leveraged decay risk
- deteriorating volume and liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- leveraged daily ETFs are unsuitable for long‑hold periods
- single‑stock exposure to ISRG amplifies sector risk
- historical max drawdown exceeding 50%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.50%
AUM$5.1M
Inception Date2025-10-06
Avg Daily Volume56,840
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.8
Support$19.25
Resistance$26.81
MA 20$22.61
MA 50$23.87
MA 200$30.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Risk Assessment
Beta2.03
Volatility78.36%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.