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ISUL:NASDAQGraniteShares 2x Long ISRG Daily ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$17.64

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ISUL is a newly launched (Oct 2025) 2×‑leveraged daily ETF on Intuitive Surgical that has already suffered a steep decline, with a YTD return of –47.77% and a current price of $17.64 sitting well below its 20‑day SMA (19.28), 50‑day SMA (21.53) and 200‑day SMA (28.97). The RSI of 36.9 hints at mild oversold conditions, while the MACD shows a tiny bullish histogram (+0.053) but both the line (‑0.931) and signal (‑0.984) remain negative, underscoring a still‑bearish momentum.
The fund’s risk profile is amplified by a 30‑day volatility of 72.7%, a beta of 1.84, a max drawdown of –57.2%, and a decreasing volume trend, all compounded by a high expense ratio (1.5%) and a very small asset base (~$5.9 M). These metrics signal that the ETF is vulnerable to rapid price swings, leveraged decay, and liquidity strain, making it unsuitable for most investors beyond very short‑term tactical plays.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading well below all major moving averages
  • Bearish trend despite a marginal MACD histogram boost
  • Elevated volatility and high beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Leveraged daily reset leading to decay over multiple days
  • Concentration in a single stock amplifies downside risk
  • Liquidity constraints evidenced by decreasing volume

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Inherent unsuitability of leveraged ETFs for long‑term holding
  • Historical max drawdown of over 57% in less than a year
  • High expense ratio eroding returns over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.50%
AUM$5.9M
Inception Date2025-10-06
Avg Daily Volume51,830
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI36.9
Support$17.20
Resistance$22.16
MA 20$19.28
MA 50$21.53
MA 200$28.97
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.77

Risk Assessment

Beta1.84
Volatility72.74%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.