ISRG:NASDAQIntuitive Surgical, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-11 - not real-time
$450.62
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $450.62, well below its 20‑day SMA of 465.94 and 50‑day SMA of 482.63, indicating a bearish price trend. RSI at 35.9 suggests the shares are approaching oversold territory, while the MACD line sits slightly beneath its signal, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure. Volume is increasing, and the price is hovering just above the calculated support of 447.78, leaving limited downside cushion before testing that level. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 22%, and beta near 0.96 means the stock moves roughly in line with the market but can swing sharply. The Fear & Greed Index reads 87.09, denoting “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating demand despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally, ISRG posts robust revenue growth of 18.8% YoY, a gross margin of 66% and operating margin above 30%, underscoring a high‑margin business model. Cash generation is strong with $5.9 bn of cash and modest debt, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 0.95 and a ROE of 16.7%. However, the discounted cash‑flow fair value of $204.4 is less than half the current market price, translating to an implied overvaluation of roughly 33% upside/downside metric. The consensus analyst rating is “Buy” with a mean target of $599, reflecting confidence in long‑term growth despite the current price premium. In this context, the stock appears positioned for a potential rebound if it can hold above support, but investors should weigh the valuation gap and heightened volatility.
Fundamentally, ISRG posts robust revenue growth of 18.8% YoY, a gross margin of 66% and operating margin above 30%, underscoring a high‑margin business model. Cash generation is strong with $5.9 bn of cash and modest debt, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 0.95 and a ROE of 16.7%. However, the discounted cash‑flow fair value of $204.4 is less than half the current market price, translating to an implied overvaluation of roughly 33% upside/downside metric. The consensus analyst rating is “Buy” with a mean target of $599, reflecting confidence in long‑term growth despite the current price premium. In this context, the stock appears positioned for a potential rebound if it can hold above support, but investors should weigh the valuation gap and heightened volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term moving averages
- proximity to technical support
- elevated 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- sustained revenue and margin expansion
- strong cash flow and low debt
- analyst upside expectations despite valuation gap
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- defensible robotic surgery moat
- pipeline of new systems (Ion)
- high recurring service revenue
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin28.38%
P/E Ratio57.1
ROE16.69%
ROA9.39%
Debt/Equity0.95
P/B Ratio9.0
Op. Cash Flow$3.0B
Free Cash Flow$2.3B
Industry P/E26.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.9
Support$447.78
Resistance$494.43
MA 20$465.94
MA 50$482.63
MA 200$504.84
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.09
Valuation
Fair Value$204.39
Target Price$599.24
Upside/Downside32.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.96
Volatility22.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.