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INW:MILInfrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

€7.94

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading near a key support level while the short‑term moving average sits above the longer‑term average, hinting at a modest upward bias. However, the relative strength index is below the midpoint and the MACD histogram is negative, signaling bearish momentum and a potential near‑term pullback. Volume has been trending down, and beta is essentially neutral, which reduces market‑wide correlation but does not offset the heightened price swings evident in recent volatility. Fundamentally, the company boasts strong margins and a dividend yield that stands out in the market, yet the payout ratio exceeds earnings and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, raising concerns about dividend sustainability.
Valuation metrics show the price‑to‑earnings multiple well below the sector average, but a discounted cash flow model places fair value far beneath the current price, suggesting the market may be overpaying. The high dividend yield, combined with the leverage and cash constraints, creates a mixed picture that warrants caution across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and RSI indicating weakening momentum
  • decreasing volume suggesting limited buying interest
  • price approaching a near‑term support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap between market price and intrinsic estimate
  • high dividend yield that may be unsustainable
  • significant leverage that could pressure earnings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • stable demand for wireless infrastructure assets
  • persistent debt burden limiting financial flexibility
  • potential for dividend adjustments if cash flow constraints tighten

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.10%
Profit Margin34.13%
P/E Ratio18.9
ROE9.60%
ROA3.86%
Debt/Equity139.54
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow€777.2M
Free Cash Flow€470.4M
Industry P/E32.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.7
Support€7.70
Resistance€9.09
MA 20€8.59
MA 50€8.06
MA 200€9.22
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value€2.92
Target Price€10.37
Upside/Downside30.58%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.49%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.00
Volatility34.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.