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INTP:IDXPT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

IDR 5,425.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Indocement is trading well below its short‑ and long‑term moving averages, with the price hovering near a key support level. The RSI is deep in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce, while the MACD remains bearish and volume is on a downtrend, tempering immediate upside expectations. Fundamentally, the stock appears markedly undervalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate and analyst price targets, and it offers an attractive dividend yield supported by solid free cash flow and a moderate payout ratio.
The company carries a high leverage profile, but its strong operating cash generation and low beta mitigate some of the financial risk. Market sentiment is bullish, reflected in an extreme greed index reading and a consensus buy recommendation. Combined, these factors point to a compelling value play with upside potential, especially for investors comfortable with moderate sector and liquidity risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price is near a strong support level
  • oversold RSI indicates possible bounce
  • bearish MACD and declining volume limit near‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • stock is undervalued versus DCF and analyst targets
  • high dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • low beta provides defensive characteristics in a volatile market

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • robust cash flow supports debt servicing and dividend continuity
  • structural demand for cement in Indonesia's infrastructure expansion
  • value orientation aligns with long‑term income‑focused investment goals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.00%
Profit Margin11.11%
P/E Ratio9.0
ROE9.31%
ROA4.97%
Debt/Equity12.88
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowIDR3821.1B
Free Cash FlowIDR2162.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI26.9
SupportIDR 5,400.00
ResistanceIDR 6,875.00
MA 20IDR 6,051.25
MA 50IDR 6,530.50
MA 200IDR 6,297.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 8,595.91
Target PriceIDR 7,270.71
Upside/Downside34.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.77%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility31.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.