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INGR:NYSEIngredion Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$101.59

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ingredion is trading below its short‑term moving average and the relative strength index sits in the mid‑range, indicating a lack of bullish momentum despite a bullish MACD histogram. The 30‑day volatility is elevated, yet the beta remains very low, suggesting the stock moves independently of broader market swings. Valuation metrics show the market price well above the discounted cash‑flow fair value, pointing to an overvalued status in the near term. However, the company delivers a solid dividend yield with a modest payout ratio, and cash flow generation comfortably covers debt, supporting dividend sustainability.
Strategic developments, such as the new AI‑driven protein partnership, aim to expand the specialty ingredients portfolio and could unlock future growth. Combined with a stable liquidity profile and a defensive consumer sector positioning, the fundamentals remain resilient, making the stock more attractive for longer‑term investors who can tolerate current pricing pressure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving average
  • neutral RSI with modest upside in MACD histogram
  • proximity to identified support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • valuation gap between market price and intrinsic estimate
  • potential revenue uplift from AI‑enabled protein collaboration

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong cash generation and low debt‑to‑equity profile
  • defensive consumer‑defensive sector providing stability
  • strategic R&D initiatives expanding growth avenues

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.20%
Profit Margin9.36%
P/E Ratio9.8
ROE16.19%
ROA7.88%
Debt/Equity41.43
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$900.0M
Free Cash Flow$357.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.2
Support$97.12
Resistance$105.20
MA 20$101.55
MA 50$107.30
MA 200$113.51
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$60.70
Target Price$122.83
Upside/Downside20.91%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.23%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility19.92%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.