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INGM:NYSEIngram Micro Holding Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time

$27.45

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ingram Micro is trading at $27.45, comfortably below its 20‑day SMA of $29.06 and 50‑day SMA of $28.38, indicating short‑term pressure despite a bullish longer‑term trend above the 200‑day SMA of $23.61. The stock’s MACD remains bearish and the RSI sits near 43, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term while volume is on the rise, reinforcing the proximity to a key support level around $27.12. Valuation metrics paint a compelling picture: a trailing P/E of 18 versus an industry average of 37, a forward P/E of 7.4, and a DCF‑derived fair value of $45.26 imply a potential upside of roughly 16 %. Revenue growth of 13.7 % year‑over‑year and a modest dividend yield of 1.18 % with a low payout ratio underscore a sustainable cash‑return profile. However, margins are thin (gross margin ~6.7 %, profit margin The recent accolade as HPE’s 2026 Global Distributor of the Year, along with multiple regional wins, reinforces Ingram Micro’s strategic positioning and brand strength in the technology distribution ecosystem. This momentum, coupled with an undervalued valuation and a dividend that appears sustainable, supports a favorable medium‑ to long‑term outlook. Nonetheless, the bearish technical setup and high volatility warrant caution for short‑term traders. Overall, the stock balances attractive valuation and growth catalysts against modest profitability and leverage concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at $27.12
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI limiting upside
  • Increasing volume suggesting potential breakout but uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Revenue growth of 13.7% and sustainable dividend
  • Recognition as HPE Global Distributor of the Year enhancing market positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic global partnerships and award recognitions
  • Undervalued multiples relative to industry peers
  • Dividend sustainability supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.70%
Profit Margin0.66%
P/E Ratio18.1
ROE8.86%
ROA3.20%
Debt/Equity90.51
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$138.7M
Free Cash Flow$561.8M
Industry P/E36.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI42.9
Support$27.12
Resistance$31.69
MA 20$29.06
MA 50$28.38
MA 200$23.61
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.2

Valuation

Fair Value$45.26
Target Price$31.85
Upside/Downside16.02%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.38
Volatility38.91%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.