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INBK:NASDAQFirst Internet Bancorp Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$23.07

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Internet Bancorp is trading around $23.07, which sits well above its DCF‑derived fair value of $15.43, indicating the stock is currently overvalued. Trailing EPS is negative (-$4.03) and profit margin is sharply negative (-80%), while the operating margin remains modestly positive at 23.8%, reflecting a mixed earnings picture. The PE ratio of 4.87 is far below the industry average of 17.1, suggesting a valuation discount on earnings, yet the price‑to‑book of 0.56 versus a book value of $41.41 per share further underscores the disconnect. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI of 69.4 points to near‑overbought conditions, the MACD histogram is bullish, but the overall trend is flagged as bearish with support at $19.18 and resistance at $23.79. Volume remains stable but modest, and the 30‑day volatility of 32% combined with a max drawdown of 38% signals heightened price swings. The company’s beta of 0.79 indicates slightly lower systematic risk than the market, while its dividend yield of 1.02% and a low payout ratio of 13.6% are supported by a solid cash balance of $457 M against $355 M of debt. Regulatory exposure is high for a regional bank, yet geographic concentration is limited to the United States, keeping currency risk low. Liquidity concerns arise from a market cap of roughly $200 M and daily volumes well below the 10‑day average. In summary, the stock’s current price reflects optimism around its digital‑banking focus, but earnings weakness, high volatility, and overvaluation temper the outlook.
Given these dynamics, a cautious short‑term stance is advisable, while the dividend and relative valuation may support a more constructive medium‑term view, and the longer‑term horizon remains uncertain pending earnings improvement.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI approaching overbought levels
  • Bearish trend despite bullish MACD
  • Current price above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low PE relative to industry peers
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Potential upside from digital‑banking initiatives

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Negative trailing earnings and profit margins
  • High volatility and historical drawdown
  • Regulatory environment for regional banks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-8.00%
Profit Margin-79.64%
P/E Ratio4.9
ROE-9.46%
ROA-0.62%
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$3.4M
Industry P/E17.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI69.4
Support$19.18
Resistance$23.79
MA 20$20.74
MA 50$20.79
MA 200$22.01
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.32

Valuation

Fair Value$15.43
Target Price$25.70
Upside/Downside11.42%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.02%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility32.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.