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IMTX:NASDAQImmatics N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$10.49

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock trades at $10.49, roughly 78% below the consensus 12‑month target median of $18, indicating significant upside. Technicals show a bullish MACD histogram of 0.11 and a neutral RSI of 58, suggesting modest momentum. Support sits at $9.13 while resistance is near $10.82, placing the current price just above the nearest support. Volatility is high at 50% over the past 30 days and beta of 1.64, reflecting a more aggressive risk profile than the market. Fundamentals are weak: revenue declined 65% YoY, gross margin is negative, and the company posted a $41.6 million loss in Q4. Despite operating losses, the balance sheet is strong with $470 million of cash and only $15.6 million of debt, giving a net cash position of over $450 million.
The price‑to‑sales ratio of 29× and a price‑to‑book of 2.5× are high for a loss‑making biotech, but the cash cushion mitigates immediate solvency concerns. Recent news highlights continued enrollment in a Phase 3 trial of Anzu‑cel and collaborations with MD Anderson and Moderna, which could catalyze future revenue. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 87, signaling extreme market optimism that may be pricing in speculative upside. Given the mix of strong cash, pipeline momentum, and elevated valuation risk, the stock appears undervalued relative to its upside potential. Investors should weigh the high volatility and regulatory uncertainties against the long‑term therapeutic promise.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price just above nearest support at $9.13
  • Bullish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume indicating weakening short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant cash runway (> $450M net cash)
  • Pipeline progress with Anzu‑cel Phase 3 enrollment
  • Upside potential of ~78% to consensus target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic collaborations (MD Anderson, Moderna, Genmab)
  • Long‑term therapeutic promise in solid‑tumor immunotherapy
  • Strong balance sheet offsetting ongoing operating losses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-64.90%
P/E Ratio-5.9
ROE-37.10%
ROA-18.08%
Debt/Equity3.23
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash Flow$-176626000
Free Cash Flow$-128190248
Industry P/E26.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.2
Support$9.13
Resistance$10.82
MA 20$9.85
MA 50$9.90
MA 200$8.66
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.07

Valuation

Target Price$18.75
Upside/Downside78.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.64
Volatility50.70%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.