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IMSR:NASDAQTerrestrial Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-20 - not real-time

$8.51

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Terrestrial Energy’s stock is trading at $8.51, comfortably above its 20‑day ($7.98) and 50‑day ($7.55) moving averages but still well below the 200‑day level ($10.08), indicating a short‑term bounce within a broader neutral trend. The RSI at 57.8 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged “bearish,” hinting at downward pressure ahead. Volume has been decreasing, and the 30‑day volatility is extreme at 117%, compounded by a beta of 3.67, which makes the stock highly responsive to market swings. Fundamentally, IMSR is pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA, and operating cash flow deficits, yet it holds $274.9 M in cash against just $2.1 M of debt, giving it a solid liquidity cushion. The price‑to‑book ratio of 3.12 and a target price of $13.50 imply a 58% upside, but the lack of earnings (PE –3.9) and negative margins flag a potentially overvalued position. The fear‑and‑greed index sits at an “Extreme Greed” 91, reflecting strong speculative enthusiasm despite the high regulatory and execution risks inherent to novel nuclear technology.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal line
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Price only modestly above short‑term moving averages

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Target price suggests ~58% upside
  • Strong cash position versus minimal debt
  • Emerging nuclear‑tech market with clean‑energy tailwinds

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential breakthrough in carbon‑free nuclear generation
  • Long‑run industry shift toward clean energy sources
  • Significant upside relative to book value and current market cap

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-3.9
ROE-23.78%
ROA-13.05%
Debt/Equity0.72
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$-22805912
Free Cash Flow$-15590194
Industry P/E20.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.8
Support$6.51
Resistance$10.14
MA 20$7.98
MA 50$7.55
MA 200$10.08
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target Price$13.50
Upside/Downside58.64%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta3.67
Volatility117.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.