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IMSR:NASDAQTerrestrial Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-10 - not real-time

$6.34

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Terrestrial Energy’s stock is trading at $6.34, barely above the calculated support of $5.33 and well below the 20‑day SMA of $6.25, indicating limited near‑term price cushion. The 20‑day SMA sits under the 50‑day SMA ($6.89) and far below the 200‑day SMA ($10.94), confirming a bearish medium‑term trend. However, the MACD histogram is positive (+0.07) and the MACD line has crossed above its signal line, offering a modest bullish signal. RSI sits at 48, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while volume is on a decreasing trajectory, hinting at waning short‑term participation. Volatility is extreme at 71% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.0, underscoring high market sensitivity. Fundamentals remain weak – no revenue, negative EPS (-$0.39 trailing, -$1.045 forward) and sizable cash burn, yet the balance sheet is relatively strong with $298 M cash versus $2 M debt. Recent news highlights strategic partnerships, a DOE‑selected project, and a commercial plant slated for Texas A&M, providing credible catalysts that support the analysts’ “strong buy” stance and the $13.5 target price, implying over 100% upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above technical support
  • Decreasing volume and bearish SMA alignment
  • Neutral RSI indicating limited short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD crossover suggesting emerging bullishness
  • Strategic partnerships and DOE project selection
  • Target price of $13.5 indicating >100% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term growth potential of carbon‑free nuclear technology
  • Strong cash position relative to minimal debt
  • Industry‑wide shift toward clean energy and regulated utility support

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-6.1
ROE-19.88%
ROA-10.21%
Debt/Equity0.70
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$-16472912
Free Cash Flow$-9944965
Industry P/E23.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.0
Support$5.33
Resistance$6.89
MA 20$6.25
MA 50$6.89
MA 200$10.94
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.23

Valuation

Target Price$13.50
Upside/Downside112.93%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.02
Volatility71.30%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.