IMCR:NASDAQImmunocore Holdings plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$28.83
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Immunocore posted a strong first‑quarter 2026, with revenue rising 14% YoY to $106.7 million and net income turning positive at $12.97 million, lifting basic EPS to $0.26. The earnings beat has driven a recent 10% price rally, yet the stock now trades at $28.83, still below its DCF‑derived fair value of $34.47, implying more than 120% upside. Technically, the 20‑day SMA ($28.96) sits just above the current price while the 50‑day SMA ($29.96) and 200‑day SMA ($33.10) remain higher, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI at 45.8 points to neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram is positive (0.108) despite a bearish trend direction, suggesting a potential early reversal.
Valuation-wise, the stock appears significantly undervalued given its high gross margin (96.7%) and improving operating efficiency (operating margin 6.8%). However, the biotech sector carries high regulatory and execution risk, and the share price is near the identified support level of $27.56. Investors should weigh the strong pipeline and upside potential against the volatility (38% 30‑day) and the company’s elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio.
Valuation-wise, the stock appears significantly undervalued given its high gross margin (96.7%) and improving operating efficiency (operating margin 6.8%). However, the biotech sector carries high regulatory and execution risk, and the share price is near the identified support level of $27.56. Investors should weigh the strong pipeline and upside potential against the volatility (38% 30‑day) and the company’s elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat and revenue growth
- Price near technical support level
- Neutral RSI and mixed MACD signals
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF undervaluation with >120% upside
- Strong gross margin and improving operating efficiency
- Pipeline progress and expanding commercial sales
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Potential blockbuster products (KIMMTRAK, tebentafusp)
- Undervalued relative to fair value and industry peers
- Long‑term growth trajectory despite regulatory risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin-6.68%
P/E Ratio-42.8
ROE-7.14%
ROA-0.88%
Debt/Equity110.67
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$-24922000
Free Cash Flow$58.6M
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.8
Support$27.56
Resistance$31.48
MA 20$28.96
MA 50$29.96
MA 200$33.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
Fair Value$34.47
Target Price$63.49
Upside/Downside120.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.78
Volatility38.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.