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IMCR:NASDAQImmunocore Holdings plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$28.83

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Immunocore posted a strong first‑quarter 2026, with revenue rising 14% YoY to $106.7 million and net income turning positive at $12.97 million, lifting basic EPS to $0.26. The earnings beat has driven a recent 10% price rally, yet the stock now trades at $28.83, still below its DCF‑derived fair value of $34.47, implying more than 120% upside. Technically, the 20‑day SMA ($28.96) sits just above the current price while the 50‑day SMA ($29.96) and 200‑day SMA ($33.10) remain higher, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI at 45.8 points to neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram is positive (0.108) despite a bearish trend direction, suggesting a potential early reversal.
Valuation-wise, the stock appears significantly undervalued given its high gross margin (96.7%) and improving operating efficiency (operating margin 6.8%). However, the biotech sector carries high regulatory and execution risk, and the share price is near the identified support level of $27.56. Investors should weigh the strong pipeline and upside potential against the volatility (38% 30‑day) and the company’s elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings beat and revenue growth
  • Price near technical support level
  • Neutral RSI and mixed MACD signals

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF undervaluation with >120% upside
  • Strong gross margin and improving operating efficiency
  • Pipeline progress and expanding commercial sales

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential blockbuster products (KIMMTRAK, tebentafusp)
  • Undervalued relative to fair value and industry peers
  • Long‑term growth trajectory despite regulatory risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin-6.68%
P/E Ratio-42.8
ROE-7.14%
ROA-0.88%
Debt/Equity110.67
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$-24922000
Free Cash Flow$58.6M
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.8
Support$27.56
Resistance$31.48
MA 20$28.96
MA 50$29.96
MA 200$33.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8

Valuation

Fair Value$34.47
Target Price$63.49
Upside/Downside120.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.78
Volatility38.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.