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HY:NYSEHyster-Yale, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time

$35.19

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hyster-Yale (HY) trades at $35.19, just below its 50‑day SMA of $34.67 but beneath the 200‑day SMA of $35.52, indicating a lingering bearish bias despite a bullish MACD histogram (+0.43) and a moderate RSI of 58.4. The stock sits on a support level near $29.01 with resistance at $35.45, while volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 61.6%, reflecting a choppy market environment and a beta of 1.46 that amplifies sector moves. Fundamentally, the company posted a 13.5% revenue decline to $3.77 bn, negative operating margins (‑1.8%) and a trailing EPS of –$3.40, yet forward EPS is projected at $0.97 and bookings surged 42% sequentially, hinting at a potential demand rebound.
Valuation metrics are concerning: a DCF fair value of $16.50 suggests the market price is roughly 33% overvalued, the forward P/E of 36.3 exceeds the industry average of 30.7, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 130% raises leverage risk. Nonetheless, the dividend yield of 4.09% with a modest 10% payout ratio, positive operating cash flow of $86.1 m, and a stable PB of 1.32 provide a cushion for income‑focused investors while the company navigates tariff challenges and aims to convert higher bookings into earnings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical trend with price near resistance
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong Q4 bookings growth (+42% sequential)
  • Forward EPS turning positive and dividend yield support
  • Potential earnings recovery as operating cash flow remains positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Cyclical demand for material‑handling equipment
  • High leverage and negative ROE limiting upside
  • Sustainable dividend providing income despite valuation concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-13.50%
Profit Margin-1.59%
P/E Ratio36.3
ROE-11.76%
ROA0.40%
Debt/Equity130.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$86.1M
Free Cash Flow$-11600000
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI58.4
Support$29.01
Resistance$35.45
MA 20$31.88
MA 50$34.67
MA 200$35.52
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.52

Valuation

Fair Value$16.50
Target Price$47.00
Upside/Downside33.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.09%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.46
Volatility61.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.