HY:NYSEHyster-Yale, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time
$35.19
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hyster-Yale (HY) trades at $35.19, just below its 50‑day SMA of $34.67 but beneath the 200‑day SMA of $35.52, indicating a lingering bearish bias despite a bullish MACD histogram (+0.43) and a moderate RSI of 58.4. The stock sits on a support level near $29.01 with resistance at $35.45, while volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility is high at 61.6%, reflecting a choppy market environment and a beta of 1.46 that amplifies sector moves. Fundamentally, the company posted a 13.5% revenue decline to $3.77 bn, negative operating margins (‑1.8%) and a trailing EPS of –$3.40, yet forward EPS is projected at $0.97 and bookings surged 42% sequentially, hinting at a potential demand rebound.
Valuation metrics are concerning: a DCF fair value of $16.50 suggests the market price is roughly 33% overvalued, the forward P/E of 36.3 exceeds the industry average of 30.7, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 130% raises leverage risk. Nonetheless, the dividend yield of 4.09% with a modest 10% payout ratio, positive operating cash flow of $86.1 m, and a stable PB of 1.32 provide a cushion for income‑focused investors while the company navigates tariff challenges and aims to convert higher bookings into earnings.
Valuation metrics are concerning: a DCF fair value of $16.50 suggests the market price is roughly 33% overvalued, the forward P/E of 36.3 exceeds the industry average of 30.7, and the debt‑to‑equity ratio of 130% raises leverage risk. Nonetheless, the dividend yield of 4.09% with a modest 10% payout ratio, positive operating cash flow of $86.1 m, and a stable PB of 1.32 provide a cushion for income‑focused investors while the company navigates tariff challenges and aims to convert higher bookings into earnings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend with price near resistance
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong Q4 bookings growth (+42% sequential)
- Forward EPS turning positive and dividend yield support
- Potential earnings recovery as operating cash flow remains positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical demand for material‑handling equipment
- High leverage and negative ROE limiting upside
- Sustainable dividend providing income despite valuation concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.50%
Profit Margin-1.59%
P/E Ratio36.3
ROE-11.76%
ROA0.40%
Debt/Equity130.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$86.1M
Free Cash Flow$-11600000
Industry P/E30.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI58.4
Support$29.01
Resistance$35.45
MA 20$31.88
MA 50$34.67
MA 200$35.52
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.52
Valuation
Fair Value$16.50
Target Price$47.00
Upside/Downside33.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.46
Volatility61.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.