IBKR:NASDAQInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time
$71.62
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Interactive Brokers is trading above its 20‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages while still sitting just shy of its 50‑day SMA, suggesting short‑term momentum but a potential near‑term ceiling. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s and the MACD histogram is positive, reinforcing a modest bullish bias despite a neutral overall trend. Volatility remains elevated at over 40% for the past month and a beta well above one points to heightened price swings, while trading volume has been on a downtrend, hinting at reduced liquidity support. Recent news of the crypto‑asset trading launch in the European Economic Area sparked a noticeable intraday rally, adding a catalyst for further upside.
Fundamentally, the firm delivers robust revenue growth of roughly 15% with exceptional gross and operating margins, a strong cash position exceeding $100 B, and a modest debt‑to‑equity ratio. The dividend payout is low at under 14% of earnings, making the dividend sustainable, and a discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair‑value upside of about 9‑10% relative to the current price. While the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well above the industry average, the combination of high profitability, cash generation, and modest upside suggests the stock is modestly undervalued and positioned for continued growth.
Fundamentally, the firm delivers robust revenue growth of roughly 15% with exceptional gross and operating margins, a strong cash position exceeding $100 B, and a modest debt‑to‑equity ratio. The dividend payout is low at under 14% of earnings, making the dividend sustainable, and a discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair‑value upside of about 9‑10% relative to the current price. While the price‑to‑earnings multiple is well above the industry average, the combination of high profitability, cash generation, and modest upside suggests the stock is modestly undervalued and positioned for continued growth.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages with bullish MACD signal
- Crypto‑asset launch providing immediate catalyst
- Support level well below current price offering downside buffer
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth and high operating margins
- Strong cash balance and low payout ratio supporting dividend sustainability
- DCF‑derived fair‑value upside indicating modest undervaluation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and high ROE
- Exposure to regulatory and market‑structure changes in capital markets
- Elevated volatility and beta suggesting price swings over longer horizons
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.20%
Profit Margin15.85%
P/E Ratio32.3
ROE23.51%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity124.33
P/B Ratio5.9
Op. Cash Flow$15.8B
Industry P/E17.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.5
Support$63.02
Resistance$73.48
MA 20$67.59
MA 50$70.68
MA 200$66.74
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.55
Valuation
Fair Value$212.16
Target Price$78.44
Upside/Downside9.53%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.44%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.83
Volatility41.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.