HVT:NYSEHaverty Furniture Companies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time
$22.21
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Haverty Furniture is trading at $22.21, slightly above its DCF‑derived fair value of $21.65, yet still offering a ~35% upside to the analyst consensus target of $30. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA (21.30) sits just below price, the 50‑day SMA (23.60) is above, RSI is neutral at 52, and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting modest bullish momentum, but volume is on a decreasing trend. Recent earnings beat expectations, with Q4 EPS of $0.50 surpassing the Zacks consensus of $0.48 and comparable store sales up 8.2%, reinforcing short‑term confidence.
Fundamentally, the company posted 9.5% revenue growth YoY, maintains a solid gross margin of 60.7% and an operating margin of 5%, but net profit margin remains thin at 2.6% and ROE is only 6.4%. The dividend yield is attractive at 5.85%, however the payout ratio exceeds 100% (108%), raising concerns about sustainability. Debt‑to‑equity sits at 70%, and beta around 1.05–1.29 signals slightly higher market sensitivity, while 30‑day volatility exceeds 30%, indicating a relatively risky equity within the consumer‑cyclical sector.
Fundamentally, the company posted 9.5% revenue growth YoY, maintains a solid gross margin of 60.7% and an operating margin of 5%, but net profit margin remains thin at 2.6% and ROE is only 6.4%. The dividend yield is attractive at 5.85%, however the payout ratio exceeds 100% (108%), raising concerns about sustainability. Debt‑to‑equity sits at 70%, and beta around 1.05–1.29 signals slightly higher market sensitivity, while 30‑day volatility exceeds 30%, indicating a relatively risky equity within the consumer‑cyclical sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical positioning near support and resistance
- Recent earnings beat and positive comparable sales
- Decreasing volume and high dividend payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Substantial upside to analyst target price
- Strong revenue growth and healthy gross margins
- Low forward P/E (~7.4) indicating value appeal
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Dividend sustainability concerns due to >100% payout
- Moderate debt level and cyclicality of home‑furnishings demand
- Brand longevity and consistent comparable‑store sales growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.50%
Profit Margin2.60%
P/E Ratio18.7
ROE6.41%
ROA2.08%
Debt/Equity70.28
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$52.6M
Free Cash Flow$21.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.5
Support$20.27
Resistance$22.60
MA 20$21.30
MA 50$23.60
MA 200$22.88
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.34
Valuation
Fair Value$21.65
Target Price$30.00
Upside/Downside35.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.05
Volatility30.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.