HPE:NYSEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$21.81
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
HPE is trading at $21.81, just below its DCF‑derived fair value of $21.96, implying a modest upside of roughly 19.5%. The stock benefits from a low forward P/E of 7.99 versus the industry average of 37.14, indicating it is undervalued. Revenue grew 18.4% YoY to $9.30 bn, and the company guided Q1 revenue to $9.8 bn, surpassing consensus. Although trailing profit margin is slightly negative, forward EPS of $2.73 signals a turnaround. Technicals show price above the 20‑day SMA (21.68) but below the 50‑day SMA (22.17), with a neutral RSI (50.4) and a bullish MACD histogram. Volume is increasing and the support level sits at $19.84, giving a comfortable cushion.
The dividend yield of 2.61% and a payout ratio of 61% are supported by strong operating cash flow of $4.49 bn. A beta of 1.63 and 30‑day volatility of 45% point to heightened market sensitivity. The recent launch of AI‑focused networking solutions at Mobile World Congress positions HPE to capture growth in the AI infrastructure market. Debt remains high at $21.6 bn, but cash of $4.84 bn and a debt‑to‑equity of 87% are manageable for a cash‑generating tech firm. Analyst consensus is a “Buy” with a median price target of $26, reinforcing the upside thesis. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, improving earnings outlook, and dividend income makes HPE an attractive near‑term play.
The dividend yield of 2.61% and a payout ratio of 61% are supported by strong operating cash flow of $4.49 bn. A beta of 1.63 and 30‑day volatility of 45% point to heightened market sensitivity. The recent launch of AI‑focused networking solutions at Mobile World Congress positions HPE to capture growth in the AI infrastructure market. Debt remains high at $21.6 bn, but cash of $4.84 bn and a debt‑to‑equity of 87% are manageable for a cash‑generating tech firm. Analyst consensus is a “Buy” with a median price target of $26, reinforcing the upside thesis. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, improving earnings outlook, and dividend income makes HPE an attractive near‑term play.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram with increasing volume
- Positive revenue guidance exceeding analyst expectations
- Support level at $19.84 providing downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong AI‑focused product rollout expanding addressable market
- Undervalued valuation relative to industry peers
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term tailwinds from AI infrastructure demand
- Consistent cash flow generation supporting dividends and debt service
- Margin of safety from DCF‑based fair value upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin-0.33%
P/E Ratio8.0
ROE-0.47%
ROA1.56%
Debt/Equity87.02
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$4.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.6B
Industry P/E37.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.4
Support$19.84
Resistance$24.38
MA 20$21.68
MA 50$22.17
MA 200$22.01
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.82
Valuation
Fair Value$21.96
Target Price$26.06
Upside/Downside19.52%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.63
Volatility45.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.