HNNA:NASDAQHennessy Advisors, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hennessy Advisors is trading at $9.92, just above the computed support of $9.70 and well below its DCF fair value of $84.25, indicating a deep discount. The 20‑day SMA ($9.98) sits marginally above price while the 50‑day SMA ($9.85) is below, suggesting a neutral short‑term bias, and the MACD histogram is negative, flagging bearish momentum. RSI at 48.6 reinforces a lack of strong buying pressure, though volume is increasing, hinting at potential accumulation. Valuation metrics are compelling: a trailing PE of 9.36 versus the industry average of 16.48, a price‑to‑book of 0.78 and a dividend yield of 6.05% with a payout ratio near 54%, all supported by $73.1M in cash and negligible debt. Operating margins (32%) and free cash flow ($45.8M) are robust, providing a solid cushion for dividend sustainability. The stock’s beta of 0.28 and 30‑day volatility of ~21% point to low systematic risk, yet the market cap of $78M and modest average volumes raise liquidity concerns. Overall, the combination of an outsized valuation gap, strong cash generation, and a generous dividend makes HNNA an attractive value play, provided investors can tolerate the liquidity and small‑cap nuances.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price hovering just above support at $9.70
- Bearish MACD histogram and neutral RSI
- Increasing volume suggesting possible buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Significant valuation discount to DCF and peers
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Strong cash position and low debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Long‑term mean reversion potential given deep undervaluation
- Consistent free cash flow supporting dividend and growth
- Low beta and defensive asset‑management business model
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.