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HNDL:NASDAQStrategy Shares Nasdaq 7HANDL Index ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time

$22.02

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HNDL is trading at $22.02, just above its 20‑day SMA of 21.97 but marginally below the 200‑day SMA of 22.07, indicating a near‑term tug‑of‑war between short‑term momentum and longer‑term support. The 14‑day RSI sits at 48.6, squarely in the neutral zone, so there is no clear overbought or oversold signal. The MACD histogram is positive (0.03) with the MACD line above its signal line, delivering a bullish signal despite the overall trend being labeled neutral. Technical support at 21.53 and resistance at 22.79 frame a tight trading range, and the current price is roughly 70% of the way to the upside barrier. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, with today’s volume of ~60k shares below the 10‑day average of 57k and well under the 3‑month average of 72k, hinting at waning participation. The fund’s beta of 0.56 underscores low market sensitivity, aligning with its “moderately conservative allocation” mandate.
HNDL has delivered an extraordinary YTD return of 94.6%, but its three‑year annualized return of roughly 10% is more modest, reflecting a recent rally rather than sustained outperformance. The expense ratio of 0.95% is relatively high for an ETF, which could erode long‑term returns if the fund’s performance normalizes. Volatility over the past 30 days is 11.2%, a level that is comfortable for conservative investors given the low beta. The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 84.84 (“Extreme Greed”), suggesting market sentiment may be overly optimistic and could prompt a short‑term correction. Liquidity appears adequate but not robust; the daily turnover represents only about 0.2% of outstanding shares, placing liquidity risk at a medium level. Overall, the fund exhibits low tracking error and no premium/discount, providing reliable exposure to the Nasdaq 7 Handl Index while keeping sector concentration risk low.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • Price near short‑term support
  • Decreasing volume indicating caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta reduces market risk
  • Strong YTD performance
  • Expense ratio acceptable for active strategy

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Low tracking error ensures index fidelity
  • Diversified moderate‑conservative allocation
  • Potential drag from high expense ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.95%
AUM$620.9M
Inception Date2018-01-16
Avg Daily Volume56,890
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield7.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.6
Support$21.53
Resistance$22.79
MA 20$21.97
MA 50$22.29
MA 200$22.07
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.84

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility11.19%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.