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HLAL:NASDAQWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time

$60.22

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action shows HLAL trading at $60.22, just below the 20‑day SMA of $60.10 and well under the near‑term resistance of $62.21, while the 50‑day SMA sits at $61.77, indicating a modest upside cushion. The RSI at 48 points to a neutral stance and the MACD histogram turning positive (0.14) suggests a subtle bullish bias, reinforced by an increasing volume trend. However, the overall trend remains neutral, and the Fear & Greed Index at 85 (Extreme Greed) hints at heightened market optimism that could cap short‑term gains.
Risk profile is anchored by a beta of ~1.0, aligning HLAL closely with the broader market, while 30‑day volatility of 17.9% and a max drawdown of about 10% signal moderate price swings. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.5% is modest for a niche Shariah‑compliant ETF, and a tracking error of zero combined with zero turnover underscores excellent index fidelity. Diversification across the U.S. equity market keeps sector concentration risk low, and being USD‑denominated eliminates currency exposure.
Given these dynamics, the short‑term view leans toward a hold as the ETF tests resistance, the medium‑term outlook supports a hold pending further confirmation of trend strength, and the long‑term horizon favors a buy to capture the ETF’s steady historical returns and growing demand for Shariah‑compliant investment solutions.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance and just above 20‑day SMA
  • Neutral RSI and modest bullish MACD histogram
  • Increasing volume supporting short‑term stability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Beta close to market indicating comparable risk
  • Low tracking error and zero turnover ensuring index fidelity
  • Moderate volatility with manageable drawdown

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Solid 3‑year (16%) and 5‑year (12%) annualized returns
  • Diversified large‑blend exposure with low sector concentration
  • Growing investor appetite for Shariah‑compliant products

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$722.0M
Inception Date2019-07-15
Avg Daily Volume64,610
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.55%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.2
Support$57.22
Resistance$62.21
MA 20$60.10
MA 50$61.77
MA 200$59.53
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.05

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility17.87%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.