HEKTS:BISTHEKTAS TICARET FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
TRY 3.87
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 3.87 TRY, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of 4.09 and the 50‑day SMA of 3.68, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. Momentum is neutral with an RSI of 48, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence (histogram -0.07), suggesting caution on upside momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend and daily turnover exceeds 1.1 billion shares, reinforcing the strength of the current move. Volatility remains elevated at over 93 % and the max drawdown of -44 % signals that price swings can be sharp. The market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase (FGI 86.7), which may fuel further buying pressure but also raises the risk of a rapid reversal. With support at 3.51 TRY and resistance near 4.86 TRY**, the price sits in a relatively wide range, offering a clear entry point above support and a target near resistance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price above key support at 3.51 TRY
- increasing volume supporting bullish trend
- extreme greed sentiment fueling demand
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- contango futures curve implying upward pressure
- tight supply‑demand environment
- moderate USD sensitivity limiting currency risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- stable price‑to‑book ratio around 2.2
- medium inventory levels providing flexibility
- geopolitical exposure in Turkey balanced by diversified operations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price3.87
Futures CurveContango
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.1
SupportTRY 3.51
ResistanceTRY 4.86
MA 20TRY 4.09
MA 50TRY 3.68
MA 200TRY 3.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.03
Volatility93.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.