HEKTS:BISTHEKTAS TICARET FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-20 - not real-time
TRY 2.82
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At TRY 2.82, Hektas Ticaret T.A.S. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 15.2%. RSI sits at 34.7, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near TRY 2.76 and resistance around TRY 3.16.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 43.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 43.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.30
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.30
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 43.8%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 31.8%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price2.82
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI34.7
SupportTRY 2.76
ResistanceTRY 3.16
MA 20TRY 2.90
MA 50TRY 3.26
MA 200TRY 3.30
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.84
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility31.80%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.