HDFCBANK:NSEHDFC BANK FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time
₹748.20
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The equity is trading at ₹748.2, which sits below the 20‑day SMA of ₹759.5 and the 50‑day SMA of ₹773.6, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI at 41 hints at a nearing oversold condition, while the MACD line remains in a bearish stance, reinforcing the downside pressure. Support is anchored around ₹733.2 and resistance near ₹790.9, with a 30‑day volatility of roughly 21.6% and a historic max drawdown of -27.8%, underscoring the price’s fragility. Nonetheless, the market sentiment index reads Extreme Greed (83.02), suggesting that investors remain optimistic despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally, HDFC Bank posted a 9.1% YoY profit increase to ₹19,221 cr, with net interest income up 3.8%, and announced a ₹13 dividend yielding 1.74%. The forward P/E of 11.9 versus a trailing P/E of 16.7 indicates valuation headroom, while the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.97 remains reasonable. Volume trends are increasing, and the bank’s massive market cap provides ample liquidity, supporting a potential rebound from the current technical dip.
Fundamentally, HDFC Bank posted a 9.1% YoY profit increase to ₹19,221 cr, with net interest income up 3.8%, and announced a ₹13 dividend yielding 1.74%. The forward P/E of 11.9 versus a trailing P/E of 16.7 indicates valuation headroom, while the price‑to‑book ratio of 1.97 remains reasonable. Volume trends are increasing, and the bank’s massive market cap provides ample liquidity, supporting a potential rebound from the current technical dip.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMAs and bearish MACD
- Support level proximity offering downside cushion
- Attractive dividend yield amid market optimism
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust earnings growth and rising NII
- Forward P/E discount indicating valuation upside
- Increasing volume trend supporting liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong market position as India's largest private lender
- Sustainable dividend policy and solid balance sheet
- Favorable macro‑economic backdrop with low currency risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price748.2
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.1
Support₹733.15
Resistance₹790.85
MA 20₹759.54
MA 50₹773.64
MA 200₹909.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.24
Volatility21.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.