We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

GYRE:NASDAQGyre Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-07 - not real-time

$7.12

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical snapshot: Gyre trades at $7.12, below its 20‑day SMA ($7.30) and 50‑day SMA ($7.77), with a neutral trend and an RSI of 45 indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD shows a modest bullish histogram (+0.02) and a bullish signal line, while a beta of ~1.6 and 30‑day volatility above 60% signal pronounced price swings. Valuation signals: The DCF fair‑value estimate of roughly $1.28 places the stock well above intrinsic estimates, yielding an upside/downside metric of +162%, yet the trailing PE of 356 versus an industry average of ~26 flags extreme overvaluation on earnings.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue rose 33% YoY to $116.6 M, driven by its approved anti‑fibrotic drug ETUARY and expanding pipeline, with a modest operating margin and positive free cash flow. Recent material news includes a $300 M all‑stock acquisition of Cullgen and a Chinese regulator granting priority review to Hydronidone (F351), both potentially widening the addressable market but also adding execution risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • High volatility and beta
  • Bullish MACD signal but limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 33% YoY
  • Pipeline milestones (priority review, acquisition)
  • Potential market expansion from Cullgen assets

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term valuation gap (DCF vs market price)
  • Sustained high R&D execution risk
  • Uncertain profitability despite revenue growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.40%
Profit Margin4.31%
P/E Ratio356.0
ROE8.21%
ROA4.93%
Debt/Equity0.66
P/B Ratio6.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.0M
Free Cash Flow$2.0M
Industry P/E25.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.1
Support$6.58
Resistance$8.51
MA 20$7.30
MA 50$7.77
MA 200$7.68
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.54

Valuation

Fair Value$1.28
Target Price$18.67
Upside/Downside162.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.63
Volatility64.72%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.