GYRE:NASDAQGyre Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-07 - not real-time
$7.12
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical snapshot: Gyre trades at $7.12, below its 20‑day SMA ($7.30) and 50‑day SMA ($7.77), with a neutral trend and an RSI of 45 indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD shows a modest bullish histogram (+0.02) and a bullish signal line, while a beta of ~1.6 and 30‑day volatility above 60% signal pronounced price swings. Valuation signals: The DCF fair‑value estimate of roughly $1.28 places the stock well above intrinsic estimates, yielding an upside/downside metric of +162%, yet the trailing PE of 356 versus an industry average of ~26 flags extreme overvaluation on earnings.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue rose 33% YoY to $116.6 M, driven by its approved anti‑fibrotic drug ETUARY and expanding pipeline, with a modest operating margin and positive free cash flow. Recent material news includes a $300 M all‑stock acquisition of Cullgen and a Chinese regulator granting priority review to Hydronidone (F351), both potentially widening the addressable market but also adding execution risk.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue rose 33% YoY to $116.6 M, driven by its approved anti‑fibrotic drug ETUARY and expanding pipeline, with a modest operating margin and positive free cash flow. Recent material news includes a $300 M all‑stock acquisition of Cullgen and a Chinese regulator granting priority review to Hydronidone (F351), both potentially widening the addressable market but also adding execution risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- High volatility and beta
- Bullish MACD signal but limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 33% YoY
- Pipeline milestones (priority review, acquisition)
- Potential market expansion from Cullgen assets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term valuation gap (DCF vs market price)
- Sustained high R&D execution risk
- Uncertain profitability despite revenue growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth33.40%
Profit Margin4.31%
P/E Ratio356.0
ROE8.21%
ROA4.93%
Debt/Equity0.66
P/B Ratio6.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.0M
Free Cash Flow$2.0M
Industry P/E25.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.1
Support$6.58
Resistance$8.51
MA 20$7.30
MA 50$7.77
MA 200$7.68
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.54
Valuation
Fair Value$1.28
Target Price$18.67
Upside/Downside162.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.63
Volatility64.72%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.