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HAS:NASDAQHasbro, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-07 - not real-time

$90.42

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hasbro (HAS) is trading at $90.42, which sits below its 20‑day ($92.22) and 50‑day ($95.08) moving averages but above the 200‑day ($82.60), indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 43.6 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest limited upside momentum for the next few weeks, while the price is comfortably above the identified support at $87.30 and below resistance near $98.07. The stock’s 30‑day volatility of 27% and a beta above 1 point to higher-than‑average market risk, compounded by a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio (>600) and a negative profit margin (-6.9%).
Fundamentally, revenue is expanding rapidly at 31% YoY with strong gross (64%) and operating (20.7%) margins, yet earnings remain negative this quarter. The DCF fair value of $95.77 implies roughly a 24% upside, and analysts from Wells Fargo have set a $98 target, reflecting a “balanced risk‑reward” outlook. However, the dividend yield of 3.1% is backed by a payout ratio near 92%, raising questions about sustainability given current losses. The recent public offering of notes indicates the company is actively managing its debt load, which could pressure the share price in the near term but also provide liquidity for strategic initiatives.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish MACD
  • High short‑term volatility and beta
  • Potential price pressure from new note issuance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and improving operating margins
  • DCF upside of ~24% and analyst target near $98
  • Forward EPS turning positive, indicating earnings recovery

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Durable brand portfolio and expanding digital gaming franchise
  • Opportunity to deleverage debt over time
  • Attractive dividend yield if earnings stabilize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth31.30%
Profit Margin-6.86%
P/E Ratio14.4
ROE-36.35%
ROA11.19%
Debt/Equity600.58
P/B Ratio23.6
Op. Cash Flow$893.2M
Free Cash Flow$434.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.6
Support$87.30
Resistance$98.07
MA 20$92.22
MA 50$95.08
MA 200$82.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.66

Valuation

Fair Value$95.77
Target Price$112.60
Upside/Downside24.53%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield3.11%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility27.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.