GWAV:NASDAQGreenwave Technology Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time
$3.11
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $3.11, essentially at its calculated support of $3.11 and well below its 20‑day SMA of $3.43, 50‑day SMA of $3.59, and 200‑day SMA of $5.08, indicating a strong bearish bias. RSI of 38 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce the downtrend, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 68% signals large price swings. Volume is increasing, suggesting continued participation but not enough buying pressure to lift the price above resistance at $4.20. The company’s beta of ~0.95 implies market‑aligned risk, yet the historical max drawdown of over 90% underscores the fragility of the equity.
Fundamentals are equally concerning: revenue surged 85% to $46.7 M, but gross margin is only 14% and operating margin sits at –40%, with a net loss of $46 M (EPS –$41.25). Debt of $13.7 M dwarfs the cash balance of $0.94 M, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 53 and a negative ROE of –68%. The stock trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.10 and price‑to‑sales of 0.06, appearing cheap on a balance‑sheet basis but unsupported by earnings. No dividend is paid, so dividend sustainability is nil. Overall, the combination of technical weakness, high volatility, and weak fundamentals makes GWAV a high‑risk play.
Fundamentals are equally concerning: revenue surged 85% to $46.7 M, but gross margin is only 14% and operating margin sits at –40%, with a net loss of $46 M (EPS –$41.25). Debt of $13.7 M dwarfs the cash balance of $0.94 M, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 53 and a negative ROE of –68%. The stock trades at a price‑to‑book of 0.10 and price‑to‑sales of 0.06, appearing cheap on a balance‑sheet basis but unsupported by earnings. No dividend is paid, so dividend sustainability is nil. Overall, the combination of technical weakness, high volatility, and weak fundamentals makes GWAV a high‑risk play.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- price at support with bearish technicals
- negative margins and earnings
- high volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth may improve top line
- balance sheet stress with high debt
- potential for asset‑based valuation
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- deep discount to book value
- possible turnaround or acquisition
- industry consolidation opportunities
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth85.30%
Profit Margin-46.28%
ROE-68.68%
ROA-21.17%
Debt/Equity52.82
P/B Ratio0.1
Op. Cash Flow$-5975441
Free Cash Flow$-660062
Industry P/E31.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.0
Support$3.11
Resistance$4.20
MA 20$3.43
MA 50$3.59
MA 200$5.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.91
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility67.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.