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GTY:NYSEGetty Realty Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$32.94

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Getty Realty Corp. (GTY) delivered a robust earnings beat with rental growth and an upgraded 2026 earnings outlook, while maintaining a high dividend yield of 5.94% despite a payout ratio exceeding 120%. Operating margins remain strong at nearly 48% and free cash flow sits around $124 M, but the balance sheet is leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 81% and total debt of $552 M. The DCF model suggests a fair value near $24.8, implying the current price of $32.94 carries a modest upside of about 5%, yet the market is pricing in optimism beyond intrinsic estimates.
Technical indicators show the stock trading just above its near‑term support of $32.32, with a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD divergence and a neutral RSI around 48. Volume has been tapering, and beta is exceptionally low (≈0.05), indicating limited price volatility. Combined, the fundamentals, dividend attractiveness, and short‑term technical resilience support a cautiously optimistic stance, while the elevated leverage and high payout ratio temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above immediate support with bullish trend
  • Strong dividend yield and cash flow coverage
  • Recent earnings guidance raise

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Expanded $125 M investment pipeline
  • Sustained rental growth and operating margins
  • Attractive yield relative to sector peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage and payout ratio above 100%
  • Potential for dividend adjustments if cash flow softens
  • Stable REIT structure with long‑term lease contracts

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO15.102772235786537

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.5
Support$32.32
Resistance$34.75
MA 20$33.09
MA 50$33.06
MA 200$29.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility15.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.