SGRO:LSESEGRO plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
£722.60
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SEGRO Plc delivered a record leasing year, signing £99 million of new rent and achieving 6% growth in earnings and dividends for 2025. Revenue rose 7.8% to £726 million, while operating margins remain robust at 67.7% and profit margins at 75.9%, underpinning a strong cash conversion with free cash flow exceeding £208 million. The REIT’s dividend yield of 4.24% and a payout ratio of 64% provide an attractive income stream, and the forward earnings per share of £0.404 supports continued dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics are compelling: the price‑to‑earnings ratio of 15.7 is well below the industry average of 32.7, and the upside/downside estimate suggests an 18% upside to the median target of £850.
Risk considerations are moderate, with a low beta of 0.33 indicating limited price volatility, but a bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal short‑term price pressure. Liquidity is solid given a £9.8 billion market cap and healthy trading volumes. Overall, the combination of strong operational performance, attractive yield, and upside potential justifies a bullish stance, especially for investors seeking income and exposure to the growing logistics real‑estate sector.
Risk considerations are moderate, with a low beta of 0.33 indicating limited price volatility, but a bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal short‑term price pressure. Liquidity is solid given a £9.8 billion market cap and healthy trading volumes. Overall, the combination of strong operational performance, attractive yield, and upside potential justifies a bullish stance, especially for investors seeking income and exposure to the growing logistics real‑estate sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- record leasing activity and earnings growth
- attractive dividend yield relative to peers
- valuation upside of ~18% to target price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- sustained cash flow generation
- moderate valuation despite high price‑to‑book
- potential macro‑economic headwinds in Europe
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- long‑term demand for logistics and data‑center space
- consistent dividend growth and low volatility
- strong balance sheet with manageable leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO24.683271757575756
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI36.7
Support£692.86
Resistance£844.60
MA 20£787.77
MA 50£764.63
MA 200£696.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.39
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility32.33%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.