GTIM:NASDAQGood Times Restaurants Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-07 - not real-time
$1.21
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Good Times Restaurants is trading just above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages while remaining significantly below the 200‑day average, suggesting short‑term momentum in a longer‑term downtrend. RSI hovers in the mid‑50s, indicating neutral pressure, and the MACD histogram has turned positive, a bullish signal reinforced by an increasing volume trend. The stock is perched near a technical support zone around $1.13 with resistance near $1.25, and a 30‑day volatility exceeding 30% combined with a historic max drawdown of over 45% underscores pronounced price swings. Fundamentally, the company carries a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100% and a cash balance that barely offsets its debt load, while operating margins sit below 1% and profit margin is under 1%. Although the current PE of roughly 12× looks inexpensive, the forward PE of 60× signals expected earnings weakness, and the ultra‑low price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales ratios point to a deep discount to book value and revenue. No dividend is paid, eliminating income‑focused appeal.
Given the blend of technical upside potential and a precarious balance sheet, investors should view GTIM as a high‑risk, value‑oriented play. The bearish sector backdrop for consumer‑cyclical restaurants adds pressure, while the low beta suggests limited market‑wide correlation but does not mitigate company‑specific risks. The stark contrast between a cheap current valuation and a steep forward valuation multiple highlights the uncertainty surrounding earnings recovery. Consequently, the stock may attract contrarian value seekers but remains unsuitable for risk‑averse or income‑seeking investors.
Given the blend of technical upside potential and a precarious balance sheet, investors should view GTIM as a high‑risk, value‑oriented play. The bearish sector backdrop for consumer‑cyclical restaurants adds pressure, while the low beta suggests limited market‑wide correlation but does not mitigate company‑specific risks. The stark contrast between a cheap current valuation and a steep forward valuation multiple highlights the uncertainty surrounding earnings recovery. Consequently, the stock may attract contrarian value seekers but remains unsuitable for risk‑averse or income‑seeking investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages
- Positive MACD histogram
- Increasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity and weak cash position
- Thin operating margins
- Forward PE indicating earnings decline
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Elevated volatility and large historical drawdown
- Consumer‑cyclical sector sensitivity
- No dividend and unsustainable earnings outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.00%
Profit Margin0.75%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE3.34%
ROA0.57%
Debt/Equity116.96
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.6M
Free Cash Flow$1.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI54.4
Support$1.13
Resistance$1.25
MA 20$1.19
MA 50$1.19
MA 200$1.42
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.46
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.51
Volatility31.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.