GMG:ASXGoodman Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time
A$26.91
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Goodman Group is priced at AUD 26.91 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.6%. With RSI at 36.2 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at AUD 26.52 up to resistance at AUD 31.30.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 20.2 versus a 30.9 sector average, below the peer group. Consensus targets land 28.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 65.8% on a 68.4% profit margin. The 1.11% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 28.6%, a beta of 0.84 and a maximum drawdown of 27.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 6/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 20.2 versus a 30.9 sector average, below the peer group. Consensus targets land 28.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 65.8% on a 68.4% profit margin. The 1.11% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 28.6%, a beta of 0.84 and a maximum drawdown of 27.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 6/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 29.52
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 20.2 versus sector average of 30.9
- Trading below the 200-day average of 29.52
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 20.2 versus sector average of 30.9
- Analyst targets imply +28.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 68.4% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO28.789671068135505
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.2
SupportA$26.52
ResistanceA$31.30
MA 20A$27.88
MA 50A$28.99
MA 200A$29.52
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14
Risk Assessment
Beta0.84
Volatility28.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.