We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

GLRE:NASDAQGreenlight Reinsurance, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-06 - not real-time

$17.85

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) is trading at $17.85, comfortably above its 20‑day ($16.24), 50‑day ($14.89) and 200‑day ($13.65) simple moving averages, confirming a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 75 indicates the stock is overbought, yet the MACD remains bullish with the line above its signal, and volume is on an increasing trajectory, suggesting continued upward momentum. Valuation metrics are compelling: the price‑to‑earnings ratio of 8.23 is less than half the industry average of 16.57, and the discounted cash‑flow model assigns a fair value of $163.47, implying substantial undervaluation. Recent earnings reinforce the upside narrative – Q4 underwriting profit of $13 million delivered a combined ratio of 92.1%, and net income of $49.3 million translated to $1.44 EPS, while gross written premiums surged 80% YoY. Despite a negative free cash flow position, the company maintains a solid cash balance of $111 million and minimal debt ($7.4 million), supporting a resilient balance sheet. The reinsurance sector’s moderate regulatory exposure, low beta of 0.40 and a 30‑day volatility of 32% position GLRE as a relatively low‑beta, high‑potential play in a sector that typically offers stable cash flows. Overall, the confluence of strong underwriting results, attractive valuation multiples, and supportive technical indicators makes GLRE a noteworthy candidate for investors seeking upside in a defensive financial niche.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $18.04 and RSI in overbought territory
  • Bullish MACD and increasing volume support continuation
  • Potential short‑term pullback after strong quarterly earnings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation with DCF fair value ~9x current price
  • Robust underwriting profit and 80% premium growth
  • Low beta and improving cash position mitigate market risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and attractive PE vs industry
  • Strategic positioning in diversified reinsurance lines
  • Long‑term upside potential reflected in extreme greed market sentiment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth39.70%
Profit Margin10.37%
P/E Ratio8.2
ROE11.14%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity1.05
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$210.2M
Free Cash Flow$-310579264
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI75.3
Support$13.77
Resistance$18.04
MA 20$16.24
MA 50$14.89
MA 200$13.65
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Valuation

Fair Value$163.47
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility32.44%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.