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GNPX:NASDAQGenprex, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-06 - not real-time

$1.54

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Genprex (GNPX) is trading well below its 20‑day SMA (1.90) and 50‑day SMA (2.07) at $1.54, with the 200‑day SMA still at $6.95, indicating a deep bearish trend. The RSI sits at 30.5, flirting with oversold territory, while the MACD line remains under its signal, producing a bearish histogram. Volume has been decreasing, and the stock’s beta of 1.9 combined with a 30‑day volatility of nearly 98% underscores extreme price swings. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $‑15.5 M, and a trailing EPS of $‑17.40, leaving traditional valuation metrics (PE, price‑to‑sales) meaningless. The balance sheet shows only $7.8 M in cash against a market cap of $3.6 M, yielding a price‑to‑book of 0.41 versus a book value per share of $3.78. Recent material news highlights that collaborators will present positive pre‑clinical data on the lead candidate Reqorsa® at the AACR 2026 meeting, offering a potential catalyst despite the current technical weakness.
In summary, the stock is highly speculative with severe downside risk, yet a successful data read‑out could trigger a dramatic re‑rating, making it a classic high‑risk/high‑reward biotech play.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
  • Oversold RSI but limited cash runway
  • Upcoming AACR data release could swing sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential breakthrough pre‑clinical results for lung cancer
  • Fast Track and Orphan Drug designations reduce regulatory timelines
  • Low market cap offers outsized upside if pipeline de‑risked

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Gene‑therapy platform addresses large oncology and diabetes markets
  • Strategic collaborations with academic institutions
  • Transformative upside potential outweighs current financial weakness

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-0.7
ROE-338.74%
ROA-135.78%
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$-15311209
Free Cash Flow$-10076918
Industry P/E25.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.5
Support$1.43
Resistance$2.12
MA 20$1.90
MA 50$2.07
MA 200$6.95
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.09

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.90
Volatility97.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.