GLPI:NASDAQGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time
$46.55
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI) trades at a **price‑to‑earnings multiple of 14.7**, well below the REIT specialty industry average of 32.4, indicating a sizable valuation discount. The REIT delivers a **robust dividend yield of 7.05%** backed by an annualized payout of $3.28, but the **payout ratio sits at 98.4%**, suggesting limited room for dividend growth and potential stress on cash reserves. Despite a **high leverage profile (debt‑to‑equity 166%)**, GLPI generates strong operating cash flow ($1.15 B) and free cash flow ($0.49 B), supported by triple‑net leases that produce a **gross margin of 99%** and an **operating margin of 79%**. Recent news confirms a **5% dividend increase to $0.82 per share**, reinforcing the company’s commitment to income‑focused investors while raising questions about reinvestment capacity.
Technical indicators show a **bullish trend direction** with the 20‑day SMA (47.12) above the 50‑day SMA (46.85) and the price holding above the 200‑day SMA (46.02). The stock is trading near its **support level of $45.85** and has a **potential upside of ~17%** to the consensus target price of $53‑$54.5. However, the MACD signals bearish momentum and the RSI at 45 indicates a neutral stance, suggesting short‑term caution. Overall, GLPI presents an attractive income yield at a discount, but investors should monitor the high payout ratio and leverage for long‑term sustainability.
Technical indicators show a **bullish trend direction** with the 20‑day SMA (47.12) above the 50‑day SMA (46.85) and the price holding above the 200‑day SMA (46.02). The stock is trading near its **support level of $45.85** and has a **potential upside of ~17%** to the consensus target price of $53‑$54.5. However, the MACD signals bearish momentum and the RSI at 45 indicates a neutral stance, suggesting short‑term caution. Overall, GLPI presents an attractive income yield at a discount, but investors should monitor the high payout ratio and leverage for long‑term sustainability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Dividend increase reinforces income appeal
- Price near technical support with limited near‑term upside
- High payout ratio may constrain cash flow flexibility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Valuation discount versus industry peers
- Strong cash flow generation from triple‑net leases
- Analyst consensus target price implying ~17% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high leverage could pressure balance sheet
- Near‑100% payout ratio limits dividend growth potential
- Stable tenant base in regulated gaming sector provides resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO11.492769863808213
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI45.0
Support$45.85
Resistance$48.51
MA 20$47.12
MA 50$46.85
MA 200$46.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility15.01%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.