8951:TSENippon Building Fund, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
¥143,900.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At a current price of ¥143,900 the fund trades just above its identified support level of ¥140,300, offering a modest price cushion while the 30‑day volatility of about 20% remains contained. The valuation is attractive, with a trailing P/E of 28.8 versus an industry average of 32.5 and a price‑to‑book of 0.35, indicating the stock is priced well below its book value. A dividend yield of 3.41% and a payout ratio near 99% provide a strong income component, reinforced by an occupancy rate of roughly 98.6% across its office portfolio. The DCF model points to a modest upside of roughly 2.8%, suggesting limited but positive upside potential.
Technically, the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit slightly above the market price, and the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory, while decreasing volume hints at waning short‑term momentum. Nonetheless, the fund’s beta of 0.11 signals very low price sensitivity to broader market moves, and its debt‑to‑equity of 82% is typical for Japanese REITs. Given the stable cash flow, high occupancy and low volatility, the overall risk profile is moderate, making a hold stance prudent across most horizons.
Technically, the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs sit slightly above the market price, and the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory, while decreasing volume hints at waning short‑term momentum. Nonetheless, the fund’s beta of 0.11 signals very low price sensitivity to broader market moves, and its debt‑to‑equity of 82% is typical for Japanese REITs. Given the stable cash flow, high occupancy and low volatility, the overall risk profile is moderate, making a hold stance prudent across most horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above support level
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Limited short‑term upside per DCF
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.41%
- Strong occupancy at 98.6%
- Valuation below industry peers (P/E 28.8 vs 32.5)
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta (0.11) indicating stability
- Consistent income generation with high payout ratio
- Long‑term lease contracts and stable office demand in Japan
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO14.476547346353138
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.1
Support¥140,300.00
Resistance¥149,600.00
MA 20¥144,610.00
MA 50¥144,668.00
MA 200¥140,724.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility20.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.