GE:NYSEGE Aerospace Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$315.52
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GE Aerospace is trading at $315.52, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 330.28 and 50‑day SMA of 319.63, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA sits at 288.92 confirming a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 42.5 suggests the stock is not yet overbought, and the MACD histogram is negative (-2.75) with a bearish signal line crossover, hinting at possible near‑term pressure near the identified support of $310.12. Volume remains stable, and the 30‑day volatility of 30.3% reflects a relatively high price swing typical for aerospace equities. The market currently values the company at a trailing PE of 39.2, well above the industry average of 29.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $133 points to a substantial premium. Despite this, analysts are highly optimistic, assigning a strong buy consensus with a median price target of $364, implying a potential upside of about 15% from current levels. Recent material news highlights a $1 billion investment in maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) capabilities, a new U.S. Air Force contract with Kratos Defense for a next‑generation jet engine, and a quarterly dividend increase to $0.47 per share, underscoring both growth and shareholder return initiatives.
Fundamentally, GE Aerospace posted a 17.6% revenue growth year‑over‑year, a robust ROE of 44.7%, and a healthy operating cash flow of $8.5 bn, supporting its capacity to fund the aggressive pipeline. Margins remain strong with a gross margin near 31.5% and operating margin of 19.5%, though recent commentary notes a slight dip in spare‑engine sales that could pressure near‑term profitability. The dividend yield of 0.58% is modest, but the payout ratio of 18% suggests sustainability. Overall, the combination of strong cash generation, strategic defense contracts, and a disciplined dividend policy positions GE Aerospace for continued upside, provided investors can tolerate the current valuation premium and sector volatility.
Fundamentally, GE Aerospace posted a 17.6% revenue growth year‑over‑year, a robust ROE of 44.7%, and a healthy operating cash flow of $8.5 bn, supporting its capacity to fund the aggressive pipeline. Margins remain strong with a gross margin near 31.5% and operating margin of 19.5%, though recent commentary notes a slight dip in spare‑engine sales that could pressure near‑term profitability. The dividend yield of 0.58% is modest, but the payout ratio of 18% suggests sustainability. Overall, the combination of strong cash generation, strategic defense contracts, and a disciplined dividend policy positions GE Aerospace for continued upside, provided investors can tolerate the current valuation premium and sector volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above key support at $310.12
- Bearish MACD crossover signaling potential near‑term pullback
- Stable volume and moderate RSI keeping downside risk limited
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (17.6%) and high ROE (44.7%)
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target of $364
- New defense contracts and $1B MRO investment expanding growth pipeline
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend with low payout ratio ensuring cash‑flow safety
- Long‑term aerospace demand and defense spending supporting earnings
- Current valuation premium relative to DCF fair value suggests caution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth17.60%
Profit Margin18.98%
P/E Ratio39.2
ROE44.69%
ROA4.68%
Debt/Equity114.07
P/B Ratio17.7
Op. Cash Flow$8.5B
Free Cash Flow$5.2B
Industry P/E29.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI42.5
Support$310.12
Resistance$348.48
MA 20$330.28
MA 50$319.63
MA 200$288.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index100
Valuation
Fair Value$133.00
Target Price$362.83
Upside/Downside15.00%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.58%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.10
Volatility30.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.