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GALD:INDEX52-Week Mcap Lows Dow Indu Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time

CHF 172.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GALDERMA GROUP N is trading at CHF 172.8, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 166.10 and 50‑day SMA of 162.08, indicating a bullish price trend. The RSI of 63.6 shows solid momentum without being overbought, while the MACD line sits at 3.42 above its signal at 2.72, confirming bullish momentum. However, the stock’s PE ratio of 83.9 dwarfs the industry average of 24.1, and the DCF‑derived fair value of CHF 129.5 suggests the market is pricing in a sizable premium. Volatility remains elevated at 26.4% over the past 30 days, and trading volume has been decreasing, raising concerns about liquidity near the 52‑week high of CHF 176.55. On the fundamentals side, GALD posted a robust 24.8% revenue growth with a healthy gross margin of 68.9% and operating margin of 17.8%, supported by strong cash generation (free cash flow of CHF 905 M). The dividend payout is modest at 0.2% with a low payout ratio of 7%, indicating sustainability, but the high valuation and regulatory exposure in the dermatology sector temper the upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • Elevated valuation relative to fair value
  • Decreasing trading volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • Persistently high PE and limited upside potential
  • Regulatory environment for dermatology products

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Market leadership in specialty dermatology
  • Sustainable cash flow and low dividend payout ratio
  • Potential for valuation correction toward DCF fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.80%
Profit Margin11.70%
P/E Ratio83.9
ROE7.69%
ROA4.25%
Debt/Equity33.80
P/B Ratio6.2
Op. Cash FlowCHF1.2B
Free Cash FlowCHF905.0M
Industry P/E24.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.6
SupportCHF 157.30
ResistanceCHF 176.55
MA 20CHF 166.10
MA 50CHF 162.08
MA 200CHF 152.78
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 129.49
Target PriceCHF 188.38
Upside/Downside9.02%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility26.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.