GALD:INDEX52-Week Mcap Lows Dow Indu Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
CHF 153.40
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GALDERMA GROUP N trades around CHF 153.4, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of CHF 135.5, implying a price premium of roughly 13 % and an implied overvaluation relative to the industry PE average of 25.3 (its own trailing PE sits at 124.7). Revenue growth remains robust at 24.8 % YoY and margins are healthy, with a gross margin of 68.9 % and operating margin of 17.8 %, supported by strong operating cash flow of CHF 1.18 bn. The stock exhibits a 30‑day volatility of 31 % and a low beta of 0.59, suggesting price swings are pronounced but not strongly correlated with the broader market. Volume is on an increasing trend, and the MACD histogram is bullish (+1.02) while the MACD signal line remains negative, indicating short‑term upward momentum. Dividend sustainability looks solid with a low payout ratio of 11 % and a modest yield of 0.22 %, backed by ample cash and free cash flow. The recent appointment of Luigi La Corte as CFO may enhance financial discipline, though the transition is still pending. Overall, the stock’s upside potential is estimated at about 15 % according to the upside/downside metric, but the current valuation gap and high volatility warrant a cautious stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Current price near resistance at CHF 160.8
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth of 24.8 % and high gross margins
- Upside potential of ~15 % based on valuation metrics
- New CFO appointment could improve capital allocation
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- High regulatory risk inherent to dermatology pharmaceuticals
- Potential valuation compression given PE of 124.7 versus industry average
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.80%
Profit Margin11.70%
P/E Ratio124.7
ROE7.69%
ROA4.25%
Debt/Equity33.80
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash FlowCHF1.2B
Free Cash FlowCHF905.0M
Industry P/E25.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI54.4
SupportCHF 141.00
ResistanceCHF 160.80
MA 20CHF 150.43
MA 50CHF 152.87
MA 200CHF 140.38
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.73
Valuation
Fair ValueCHF 135.51
Target PriceCHF 176.68
Upside/Downside15.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.22%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.59
Volatility31.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.