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GAIA:NASDAQGaia, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-05 - not real-time

$2.56

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Gaia, Inc. trades well below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with a bearish MACD and RSI indicating oversold conditions. The stock is experiencing high volatility and a beta modestly above one, suggesting amplified market swings. Fundamental metrics show a price‑to‑earnings ratio far beneath the sector average and a discounted cash flow valuation that places fair value many times above the current price, implying a sizable upside. Recent news highlights member growth, price hikes, and a clear trajectory toward profitability with continued positive free cash flow, which could catalyze a price rebound.
While technical signals remain bearish in the near term, the combination of undervaluation, improving cash generation, and strategic pricing initiatives supports a medium to long‑term buying case, albeit with heightened risk due to market volatility and liquidity constraints.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • bearish MACD momentum
  • elevated volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • path toward profitability by the end of next year
  • price hikes driving revenue expansion
  • valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • consistent positive free cash flow generation
  • substantial upside to intrinsic value
  • strong member retention and growth potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.80%
Profit Margin-4.54%
P/E Ratio7.5
ROE-5.39%
ROA-2.16%
Debt/Equity14.48
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.7M
Free Cash Flow$13.7M
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.9
Support$2.45
Resistance$3.40
MA 20$2.95
MA 50$3.18
MA 200$4.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Valuation

Fair Value$9.48
Target Price$7.38
Upside/Downside188.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.09
Volatility55.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.