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G:NYSEGenpact Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

$32.30

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Genpact posted a solid 6.7% YoY revenue increase to $1.30 bn and beat earnings estimates, but its forward revenue guidance fell short of consensus, triggering a 7.5% share‑price drop. Valuation metrics are compelling: the stock trades around $32, well below the DCF fair value of $69 and a PE of ~10 versus an industry average of ~43, offering roughly 30% upside. The dividend yield of 2.27% with a modest 21% payout ratio appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and a healthy balance sheet.
Technical indicators signal short‑term pressure – the price sits beneath the 20‑day (31.9), 50‑day (34.3) and 200‑day (40.6) SMAs, RSI is near 47, and the MACD line is negative though the histogram is positive. A bearish trend, high 30‑day volatility (~46%), decreasing volume and a support level at $28.78 suggest caution, while the low beta (0.65) tempers market‑wide risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Weak forward revenue guidance causing price pressure
  • Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF and industry multiples
  • Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
  • Strategic partnership with Google Cloud supporting growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for digital transformation and BPO services
  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Robust balance sheet with manageable debt and consistent earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin11.04%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE23.12%
ROA9.18%
Debt/Equity71.02
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$748.9M
Free Cash Flow$712.1M
Industry P/E43.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.9
Support$28.78
Resistance$34.73
MA 20$31.89
MA 50$34.34
MA 200$40.60
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Fair Value$69.03
Target Price$42.45
Upside/Downside31.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.27%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility46.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.