G:NYSEGenpact Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time
$32.30
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Genpact posted a solid 6.7% YoY revenue increase to $1.30 bn and beat earnings estimates, but its forward revenue guidance fell short of consensus, triggering a 7.5% share‑price drop. Valuation metrics are compelling: the stock trades around $32, well below the DCF fair value of $69 and a PE of ~10 versus an industry average of ~43, offering roughly 30% upside. The dividend yield of 2.27% with a modest 21% payout ratio appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow and a healthy balance sheet.
Technical indicators signal short‑term pressure – the price sits beneath the 20‑day (31.9), 50‑day (34.3) and 200‑day (40.6) SMAs, RSI is near 47, and the MACD line is negative though the histogram is positive. A bearish trend, high 30‑day volatility (~46%), decreasing volume and a support level at $28.78 suggest caution, while the low beta (0.65) tempers market‑wide risk.
Technical indicators signal short‑term pressure – the price sits beneath the 20‑day (31.9), 50‑day (34.3) and 200‑day (40.6) SMAs, RSI is near 47, and the MACD line is negative though the histogram is positive. A bearish trend, high 30‑day volatility (~46%), decreasing volume and a support level at $28.78 suggest caution, while the low beta (0.65) tempers market‑wide risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Weak forward revenue guidance causing price pressure
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to DCF and industry multiples
- Strong cash generation and sustainable dividend
- Strategic partnership with Google Cloud supporting growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for digital transformation and BPO services
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Robust balance sheet with manageable debt and consistent earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin11.04%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE23.12%
ROA9.18%
Debt/Equity71.02
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash Flow$748.9M
Free Cash Flow$712.1M
Industry P/E43.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.9
Support$28.78
Resistance$34.73
MA 20$31.89
MA 50$34.34
MA 200$40.60
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75
Valuation
Fair Value$69.03
Target Price$42.45
Upside/Downside31.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.65
Volatility46.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.