G1A:XETRGEA Group Aktiengesellschaft Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
€62.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GEA Group AG trades at €62.1, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of €64.8 and the 200‑day SMA of €60.9, indicating a modest bullish bias. However, the RSI of 33 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram is negative, flagging short‑term bearish momentum.
Fundamentally, the company generates solid cash flow (operating cash €731 M, free cash €406 M) and pays a 2.07% dividend with a 45% payout ratio, supporting dividend sustainability. Yet the DCF fair value of €41.3 is far below the market price, pointing to an overvalued valuation despite a PE below the industry average and low beta (≈0.18) that tempers market risk.
Fundamentally, the company generates solid cash flow (operating cash €731 M, free cash €406 M) and pays a 2.07% dividend with a 45% payout ratio, supporting dividend sustainability. Yet the DCF fair value of €41.3 is far below the market price, pointing to an overvalued valuation despite a PE below the industry average and low beta (≈0.18) that tempers market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI near oversold levels suggesting potential bounce
- Proximity to technical support at €62.1
- Negative MACD histogram indicating lingering bearish pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value gap signals price correction risk
- Stable dividend yield and payout ratio
- Low beta and modest volatility relative to market
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Consistent cash generation and dividend sustainability
- Industry position in specialty industrial machinery with moderate growth
- Overvaluation risk requiring price re‑alignment before upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.40%
Profit Margin7.53%
P/E Ratio24.4
ROE16.81%
ROA6.24%
Debt/Equity10.07
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow€731.8M
Free Cash Flow€406.1M
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI33.4
Support€62.10
Resistance€65.88
MA 20€64.84
MA 50€62.15
MA 200€60.93
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value€41.27
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility21.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.