FYC:NASDAQFirst Trust Small Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-05 - not real-time
$98.87
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund is trading at $98.87, just above the 20‑day SMA of 96.82 but slightly below the 50‑day SMA of 99.24, indicating a modest short‑term upward bias. Momentum indicators are neutral to mildly bullish, with an RSI of 53.2, a bullish MACD histogram of 0.28, and the MACD line crossing above its signal. Price sits between a near‑term support level of $92.39 and resistance at $99.72, while the 200‑day SMA sits at $92.00, reinforcing the support cushion. Volatility remains elevated at 27.1% (30‑day) and beta is slightly above market at 1.07, suggesting the fund will move more than the broad market. The expense ratio of 0.70% is typical for a smart‑beta ETF, and the fund has experienced a modest YTD return of 4.66% with a 3‑year total return of roughly 20%. Trading volume has been decreasing, which may constrain short‑term liquidity, but assets under management of about $925 million provide a solid base. The fear/greed index reads Extreme Greed (78.8), reflecting strong market appetite for growth‑oriented small‑cap exposure. No material news specific to FYC emerged, so the outlook relies on the quantitative profile. Overall, the fund appears positioned for modest upside if growth momentum sustains, but heightened volatility and weakening volume warrant caution.
Investors should monitor technical breakouts, volume trends, and broader small‑cap growth sentiment when deciding entry or exit points.
Investors should monitor technical breakouts, volume trends, and broader small‑cap growth sentiment when deciding entry or exit points.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price marginally above 20‑day SMA with bullish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume indicating potential liquidity pressure
- Neutral trend and moderate volatility (27% 30‑day)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong 3‑year total return (~20%) and growth‑oriented small‑cap exposure
- Beta slightly above 1 suggesting higher upside in a bullish market
- Expense ratio competitive for a smart‑beta strategy
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term volatility and max drawdown (~‑10.5%) imply risk management needed
- Fund’s smart‑beta AlphaDEX methodology provides diversified growth tilt
- Absence of material news reduces event‑driven uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.70%
AUM$925.1M
Inception Date2011-04-19
Avg Daily Volume57,660
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.08%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.2
Support$92.39
Resistance$99.72
MA 20$96.82
MA 50$99.24
MA 200$92.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta1.07
Volatility27.14%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.