FWONK:NASDAQ
Liberty Media Corporation - Series C Liberty Formula One
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$86.01
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral‑ish RSI, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness despite an increasing volume trend. Support sits near the low‑80s while resistance is clustered in the low‑90s, and a 30‑day volatility of over 30% adds price swing risk, though the beta remains modest, indicating limited market‑wide sensitivity.
On the fundamentals side, revenue has stalled year‑over‑year while margins remain respectable, but the balance sheet is strained by a debt load that dwarfs cash reserves. The forward‑looking valuation is challenged by a PE nearly double the industry average and a DCF fair‑value far below the current price, marking the stock as overvalued, yet the recent MotoGP acquisition and the split‑off of Liberty Live hint at future growth catalysts that analysts have flagged with a “buy” consensus and hedge‑fund enthusiasm.
On the fundamentals side, revenue has stalled year‑over‑year while margins remain respectable, but the balance sheet is strained by a debt load that dwarfs cash reserves. The forward‑looking valuation is challenged by a PE nearly double the industry average and a DCF fair‑value far below the current price, marking the stock as overvalued, yet the recent MotoGP acquisition and the split‑off of Liberty Live hint at future growth catalysts that analysts have flagged with a “buy” consensus and hedge‑fund enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- bearish MACD and high near‑term volatility
- support level proximity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- potential revenue uplift from MotoGP integration
- analyst buy consensus and hedge‑fund interest
- stable operating margins despite flat top‑line
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- persistent high debt relative to equity
- absence of dividend limiting income appeal
- brand strength and global fan base offering upside if growth initiatives succeed
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin12.38%
P/E Ratio37.2
ROE7.69%
ROA2.66%
Debt/Equity60.64
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$870.0M
Free Cash Flow$664.2M
Industry P/E18.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support$81.28
Resistance$93.22
MA 20$87.18
MA 50$89.26
MA 200$97.13
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair Value$20.58
Target Price$117.27
Upside/Downside36.34%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.46
Volatility31.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
More Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.