FV:NASDAQFirst Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-05 - not real-time
$60.99
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The ETF is trading at $60.99, just below its 20‑day SMA of 61.19 and well under the 50‑day SMA of 63.98, indicating short‑term pressure. However, the MACD histogram is positive (0.09) and the MACD line sits above its signal line, delivering a bullish signal. RSI at 45.2 suggests the fund is neither overbought nor oversold, while the price comfortably sits above the identified support at $58.33 and below resistance at $63.77, framing a modest upside range.
Fund fundamentals & market context: With a low expense ratio of 0.89% and zero tracking error, the fund tracks its strategy tightly. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 23.1%, and the max drawdown of –13.5% points to moderate downside risk. Beta hovers around 1.0, implying market‑like sensitivity, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.8 signals "Extreme Greed" in the broader market. YTD return is modest at +3.86% and the fund offers a modest dividend yield of 0.6%. No material news specifically affecting FV was identified in the recent headlines.
Fund fundamentals & market context: With a low expense ratio of 0.89% and zero tracking error, the fund tracks its strategy tightly. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 23.1%, and the max drawdown of –13.5% points to moderate downside risk. Beta hovers around 1.0, implying market‑like sensitivity, while the Fear & Greed Index at 78.8 signals "Extreme Greed" in the broader market. YTD return is modest at +3.86% and the fund offers a modest dividend yield of 0.6%. No material news specifically affecting FV was identified in the recent headlines.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMA but bullish MACD signal
- Support level at $58.33 provides downside cushion
- Elevated 30‑day volatility (23%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside to resistance $63.77
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
- Market sentiment skewed toward greed, favoring risk‑on assets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Mid‑cap blend exposure offers diversification
- Historical 3‑yr annual return ~11% aligns with growth expectations
- Beta near 1 suggests market‑aligned performance over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.89%
AUM$3.6B
Inception Date2014-03-05
Avg Daily Volume138,920
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.60%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.2
Support$58.33
Resistance$63.77
MA 20$61.19
MA 50$63.98
MA 200$62.22
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.97
Volatility23.10%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.