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FRMI:NASDAQFermi Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-17 - not real-time

$4.77

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Fermi Inc. trades at $4.77, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 24.4%. Relative strength is 39.7 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $4.50 and resistance around $6.12.
The shares look fair, trading on 41.2 times earnings above a sector average of 30.5. The average analyst target implies 259.0% above today's level.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 103.9%, a beta of 2.58 and a maximum drawdown of 85.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Fermi Inc. stocks have been trading down by -5.84 percent following reports of a major regulatory probe into its...Fermi NasdaqGS:FRMI appoints Lee McIntire as Chief Executive Officer as the company moves from development into...Company Signed Its First Anchor Customer, Named a CEO, Added a Strategic Alliance and Premier Contractors, Received...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.63
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 41.2 versus sector average of 30.5
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.63

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 41.2 versus sector average of 30.5
  • Analyst targets imply +259.0% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 103.9%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio41.2
Debt/Equity55.87
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$-87549000
Industry P/E30.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.7
Support$4.50
Resistance$6.12
MA 20$5.32
MA 50$6.00
MA 200$7.63
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93

Valuation

Target Price$17.13
Upside/Downside259.01%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.58
Volatility103.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.