FPS:NYSEForgent Power Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-28 - not real-time
$38.97
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $38.97, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has gained 3.8% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 59.3, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $27.99 and resistance around $40.07.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 129.9 sits above the sector average of 27.7. Analyst price targets sit 45.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 94.3% on a 5.8% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 81.1%, a beta of 3.21 and a maximum drawdown of 55.7%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 129.9 sits above the sector average of 27.7. Analyst price targets sit 45.3% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 94.3% on a 5.8% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 81.1%, a beta of 3.21 and a maximum drawdown of 55.7%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Forgent Power Solutions' Q4 outlook benefits from strong data center demand, rising bookings and backlog, though...・Q4 bookings hit a record $1.5B, pushing backlog to an all-time high. ・Management expects revenue and adjusted...Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. NYSE:FPS reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $462 million on...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 39.39
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 129.9 versus sector average of 27.7
- Trading below the 200-day average of 39.39
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 129.9 versus sector average of 27.7
- Analyst targets imply +45.3% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +94.3%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth94.30%
Profit Margin5.76%
P/E Ratio129.9
ROE17.04%
ROA6.05%
Debt/Equity104.82
P/B Ratio18.0
Op. Cash Flow$109.1M
Free Cash Flow$-87482752
Industry P/E27.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.3
Support$27.99
Resistance$40.07
MA 20$33.62
MA 50$35.09
MA 200$39.39
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.45
Valuation
Fair Value$5.88
Target Price$56.64
Upside/Downside45.33%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.21
Volatility81.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.