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601012:SSELONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥18.68

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LONGi Green Energy trades at CNY 18.68, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (18.42) and 50‑day SMA (18.47), and sits well over the 200‑day SMA (17.54), indicating short‑term price strength. The MACD histogram is positive (0.083) with a bullish signal line crossover, while the RSI sits at a neutral 53, suggesting no immediate overbought pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the current price momentum, but volatility remains high at roughly 37% over the past 30 days. Valuation metrics are starkly misaligned: a DCF‑derived fair value of about CNY 9.4 is less than half the market price, and the forward P/E of 38.8 exceeds the industry average of 33.7. Fundamentally, the company is under pressure – revenue fell 9.8% YoY, gross margin is negative (-5.4%), and the firm posted a net loss with trailing EPS of -0.73. Cash generation is weak, with operating cash flow positive but free cash flow deeply negative, and debt‑to‑equity stands at 56%, highlighting balance‑sheet strain. These mixed signals create a tension between technical upside and deteriorating fundamentals, suggesting caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover
  • Price above short‑term SMAs
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation vs DCF fair value
  • Negative earnings and margins
  • High debt load and negative free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained earnings weakness
  • Sector competition and subsidy uncertainty
  • Persistent valuation disconnect

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.80%
Profit Margin-7.39%
P/E Ratio38.8
ROE-9.27%
ROA-4.05%
Debt/Equity56.09
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥5.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-5410520064
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI53.2
SupportCN¥17.58
ResistanceCN¥19.75
MA 20CN¥18.42
MA 50CN¥18.47
MA 200CN¥17.54
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.21

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥9.39
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility36.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.