FPA:NASDAQFirst Trust Asia Pacific Ex-Japan AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$43.34
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund has delivered a robust YTD return of 32.79% while trading at $43.34, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of $39.42 but just below the 20‑day ($44.62) and 50‑day ($45.32) averages, suggesting a short‑term pull‑back potential. Technical indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 44 (neutral) and the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, while price remains bounded by a support level of $41.10 and resistance near $46.99. Volatility is elevated at roughly 39% over the past 30 days, and the Fear & Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” hinting at possible over‑optimism. Despite the high expense ratio of 0.8%, the fund offers a solid dividend yield of 3.54% and a low beta of 0.87, providing downside protection relative to the broader market. With tracking error at zero and an increasing volume trend, liquidity is adequate for most investors, though current daily volume lags the 10‑day average. Overall, the fund’s strong regional exposure, attractive yield, and disciplined tracking make it a compelling holding, but the near‑term technical weakness and high volatility suggest caution before adding more exposure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and proximity to resistance at $46.99
- Elevated 30‑day volatility (~39%)
- Increasing volume but current daily volume below 10‑day average
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance and 3‑year return around 22%
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.54% with low tracking error
- Low beta (0.87) offering defensive characteristics
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term growth prospects in Asia‑Pacific ex‑Japan markets
- Consistent dividend income and low tracking error
- Diversified regional exposure mitigating single‑country risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.80%
AUM$39.7M
Inception Date2011-04-18
Avg Daily Volume44,170
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.54%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.0
Support$41.10
Resistance$46.99
MA 20$44.62
MA 50$45.32
MA 200$39.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.87
Volatility38.93%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.