We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

FNX:NASDAQFirst Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time

$129.30

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FNX is trading at $129.30, just below its short‑term resistance of $131.88 and comfortably above the support level of $124.45. The 20‑day SMA of $128.04 sits beneath the current price, while the 50‑day SMA at $132.46 acts as a modest ceiling, indicating a price that is edging toward the upper band of its recent range. Momentum signals are mixed: the RSI of 49.4 points to a neutral stance, yet the MACD histogram is positive, delivering a bullish signal. Volume remains stable with daily trades around 26k against a 10‑day average of 40k, suggesting modest liquidity.
The fund’s risk profile is tempered by a beta of 0.95 and a max drawdown of -9.4%, while its 30‑day volatility of 19.4% reflects typical mid‑cap fluctuations. With a YTD return of 7.95%, a 3‑year return of 14.1%, and an expense ratio of 0.62%, FNX offers solid mid‑cap exposure. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 78.8) adds a short‑term bullish tilt, but the neutral trend and moderate liquidity suggest a cautious, hold‑or‑buy‑on‑dips approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral RSI
  • Support level at $124.45 provides downside cushion
  • Extreme Greed sentiment may drive short‑term buying pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 3‑year performance of 14.1% in the mid‑cap blend space
  • Beta below 1 indicates lower market volatility
  • Reasonable expense ratio of 0.62% for a smart‑beta ETF

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified mid‑cap exposure with low tracking error
  • Consistent dividend yield (~0.8%) for total return
  • Historical resilience with max drawdown under 10% and stable fund structure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.62%
AUM$1.3B
Inception Date2007-05-08
Avg Daily Volume40,440
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.82%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI49.4
Support$124.45
Resistance$131.88
MA 20$128.04
MA 50$132.46
MA 200$125.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility19.44%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.