FNX:NASDAQFirst Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-04 - not real-time
$129.30
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FNX is trading at $129.30, just below its short‑term resistance of $131.88 and comfortably above the support level of $124.45. The 20‑day SMA of $128.04 sits beneath the current price, while the 50‑day SMA at $132.46 acts as a modest ceiling, indicating a price that is edging toward the upper band of its recent range. Momentum signals are mixed: the RSI of 49.4 points to a neutral stance, yet the MACD histogram is positive, delivering a bullish signal. Volume remains stable with daily trades around 26k against a 10‑day average of 40k, suggesting modest liquidity.
The fund’s risk profile is tempered by a beta of 0.95 and a max drawdown of -9.4%, while its 30‑day volatility of 19.4% reflects typical mid‑cap fluctuations. With a YTD return of 7.95%, a 3‑year return of 14.1%, and an expense ratio of 0.62%, FNX offers solid mid‑cap exposure. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 78.8) adds a short‑term bullish tilt, but the neutral trend and moderate liquidity suggest a cautious, hold‑or‑buy‑on‑dips approach.
The fund’s risk profile is tempered by a beta of 0.95 and a max drawdown of -9.4%, while its 30‑day volatility of 19.4% reflects typical mid‑cap fluctuations. With a YTD return of 7.95%, a 3‑year return of 14.1%, and an expense ratio of 0.62%, FNX offers solid mid‑cap exposure. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 78.8) adds a short‑term bullish tilt, but the neutral trend and moderate liquidity suggest a cautious, hold‑or‑buy‑on‑dips approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral RSI
- Support level at $124.45 provides downside cushion
- Extreme Greed sentiment may drive short‑term buying pressure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong 3‑year performance of 14.1% in the mid‑cap blend space
- Beta below 1 indicates lower market volatility
- Reasonable expense ratio of 0.62% for a smart‑beta ETF
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified mid‑cap exposure with low tracking error
- Consistent dividend yield (~0.8%) for total return
- Historical resilience with max drawdown under 10% and stable fund structure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.62%
AUM$1.3B
Inception Date2007-05-08
Avg Daily Volume40,440
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.82%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.4
Support$124.45
Resistance$131.88
MA 20$128.04
MA 50$132.46
MA 200$125.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.8
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility19.44%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.