FORTUM:OMXHEXFortum Oyj Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
€20.74
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fortum trades around €20, just below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, while an RSI near 46 signals neutral momentum and a bearish MACD reinforces a short‑term downside bias.
The company’s PE aligns with the utilities‑renewable industry average and its dividend yield near 3.5% coupled with an 80% payout and solid free‑cash‑flow suggests the dividend remains sustainable, though the high debt‑to‑equity ratio and sizable leverage flag balance‑sheet pressure.
Volume has been trending lower and beta is very low, indicating limited price volatility but also a liquidity concern, while the fear‑greed index sits in the “Extreme Greed” zone, hinting at market optimism that may not be fully supported by fundamentals.
The company’s PE aligns with the utilities‑renewable industry average and its dividend yield near 3.5% coupled with an 80% payout and solid free‑cash‑flow suggests the dividend remains sustainable, though the high debt‑to‑equity ratio and sizable leverage flag balance‑sheet pressure.
Volume has been trending lower and beta is very low, indicating limited price volatility but also a liquidity concern, while the fear‑greed index sits in the “Extreme Greed” zone, hinting at market optimism that may not be fully supported by fundamentals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD signal
- price below short‑term SMAs
- decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- dividend sustainability
- PE parity with industry
- high leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- renewable utilities growth outlook
- attractive dividend yield
- alignment with ESG trends
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.30%
Profit Margin15.42%
P/E Ratio22.5
ROE9.16%
ROA3.64%
Debt/Equity48.47
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow€742.0M
Free Cash Flow€1.3B
Industry P/E22.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.5
Support€20.05
Resistance€22.10
MA 20€21.05
MA 50€21.37
MA 200€18.65
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value€43.39
Target Price€17.70
Upside/Downside-14.68%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.52%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility26.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.