FNV:NYSEFranco-Nevada Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-19 - not real-time
$265.93
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Franco-Nevada Corporation is priced at $265.93 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Over a rolling month the price has gained 15.1%. Relative strength is 58.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $254.41 as support and $273.98 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 34.7 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 7.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 58.2% on a 64.2% profit margin. The 0.66% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 37.1%, a beta of 1.11 and a maximum drawdown of 29.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 34.7 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 7.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 58.2% on a 64.2% profit margin. The 0.66% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 37.1%, a beta of 1.11 and a maximum drawdown of 29.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is buy while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
FNV's Q2 revenues jump 57% y/y, fueled by higher precious metal and oil prices, while earnings miss estimates and...Franco-Nevada Corp FNV reports a stellar Q2 2026 with record financial results, a 23% increase in precious metal GEOs,...Yahoo Finance1monFranco-Nevada Corp FNV Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Surge of 57% and .
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 235.60
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 235.60
- Analyst targets imply +7.3% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +7.3% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 64.2% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +58.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth58.20%
Profit Margin64.23%
P/E Ratio34.7
ROE19.91%
ROA13.73%
P/B Ratio6.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$470.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.4
Support$254.41
Resistance$273.98
MA 20$265.02
MA 50$238.58
MA 200$235.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.98
Valuation
Fair Value$87.30
Target Price$285.30
Upside/Downside7.29%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.66%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.11
Volatility37.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.